I know that I know

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Emil
 
Reply Sun 7 Feb, 2010 11:56 am
@ACB,
ACB;125718 wrote:
Is this always the case? "Paradise" is synonymous with "Heaven", but "He knows that Paradise is Heaven" can be false while "He knows that Heaven is Heaven" is true.


I can't think of a single case of synonymousity with that criterion and opaque contexts such as the one you cited. That is interesting.

---------- Post added 02-07-2010 at 07:02 PM ----------

kennethamy;125705 wrote:
I tried. "I can give you an argument, but I cannot give you understanding". Samuel Johnson.

By the way, do you (or others) know what the word "synonymous" means? To begin with, things (like knowledge or belief, or chairs and tables) cannot be synonymous. Only words can. Are the words "belief" and "knowledge" synonymous? Of course not. The test of synonymy is the salvae veritate test. "X" and "Y" are synonymous if and only if "X" and "Y" are intersubstitutable in every context preserving truth. But the words, "belief" and "knowledge"(or their cognates) cannot be substituted for each other in every context preserving truth. Therefore they are not synonymous. Example" "A believes that Quito is the capital of Ecuador" may be true, but, "A knows that Quito is the capital of Ecuador" may be false. So, "believe" and "knowledge" cannot be substituted for one another, salve veritate. Therefore, they are not synonymous. QED


Careful with sentences like "To begin with, things (like knowledge or belief, or chairs and tables) cannot be synonymous. Only words can.". People might interpret that as logical impossibility or something else. I think that what you mean is this "To begin with, things (like knowledge or belief, or chairs and tables) cannot be meaningfully said to be synonymous. Only words can meaningfully said to be.".

That latin phrase seems completely unnecessary to me. Wiki. I am inclined to think that we should do away with/stop using it.
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Sun 7 Feb, 2010 01:13 pm
@Emil,
Emil;125774 wrote:
I can't think of a single case of synonymousity with that criterion and opaque contexts such as the one you cited. That is interesting.

---------- Post added 02-07-2010 at 07:02 PM ----------



Careful with sentences like "To begin with, things (like knowledge or belief, or chairs and tables) cannot be synonymous. Only words can.". People might interpret that as logical impossibility or something else. I think that what you mean is this "To begin with, things (like knowledge or belief, or chairs and tables) cannot be meaningfully said to be synonymous. Only words can meaningfully said to be.".

That latin phrase seems completely unnecessary to me. Wiki. I am inclined to think that we should do away with/stop using it.



If I had to anticipate the ways people might misinterpret (on this Forum) I could never begin to post. "Salvae Veritate" is the customary way of referring to this principle.
 
Scottydamion
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 01:37 am
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;125705 wrote:
I tried. "I can give you an argument, but I cannot give you understanding". Samuel Johnson.

By the way, do you (or others) know what the word "synonymous" means? To begin with, things (like knowledge or belief, or chairs and tables) cannot be synonymous. Only words can. Are the words "belief" and "knowledge" synonymous? Of course not. The test of synonymy is the salvae veritate test. "X" and "Y" are synonymous if and only if "X" and "Y" are intersubstitutable in every context preserving truth. But the words, "belief" and "knowledge"(or their cognates) cannot be substituted for each other in every context preserving truth. Therefore they are not synonymous. Example" "A believes that Quito is the capital of Ecuador" may be true, but, "A knows that Quito is the capital of Ecuador" may be false. So, "believe" and "knowledge" cannot be substituted for one another, salve veritate. Therefore, they are not synonymous. QED


You really have no idea what I'm trying to say... Your "I tried" has been aimed at correcting an idea I already understand. I'm using the idea of knowledge and belief being synonymous to make a point, and if you can't see past the error that I already know I'm making, then you have no chance of understanding the argument that follows (which is in no way dependent on knowledge and belief being synonymous words).

---------- Post added 02-08-2010 at 02:07 AM ----------

ACB;125721 wrote:
But the truth-value of "Jefferson City is the capital of Missouri" can be changed in two ways: by changing the meaning of the words (symbols), or by keeping the meaning the same and making an official decision that the city referred to as "Jefferson City" shall cease to be the capital.

The truth-value of "1+1=2", however, can only be changed by changing the meanings of the symbols. Given their current meanings, 1+1 cannot be made to equal anything other than 2 by mere stipulation, or by any other event.


The first thing I would say is that by changing the city you are changing the symbolism representing the capitol of a state. Because I think that better represents what I'm trying to say.

And if you'll let me add the next sentence onto your quote of my post: "Look, I understand you will probably reply by explaining the difference between necessary truth and truth, but I know that already"

So why did you lecture me anyways? If you go back and read the last sentence then you may better understand where my arguments are coming from, because they are not held up by the errors of definition that I know I am making. I am trying to use the error as a metaphor, as a gap that is only partly filled by the literal distinction between necessary truth and truth.
 
Emil
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 04:59 am
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;125791 wrote:
If I had to anticipate the ways people might misinterpret (on this Forum) I could never begin to post. "Salvae Veritate" is the customary way of referring to this principle.


That's right, but you can still avoid many misunderstandings by not using shorthands such as the one you used there. Besides, maybe you should look up the this even though the quality of that article is low.

Yes, it may be customary (I don't know but you do) but that is insufficient reason alone, I think, to use the phrase.
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 06:39 am
@Scottydamion,
Scottydamion;126037 wrote:
You really have no idea what I'm trying to say... Your "I tried" has been aimed at correcting an idea I already understand. I'm using the idea of knowledge and belief being synonymous to make a point, and if you can't see past the error that I already know I'm making, then you have no chance of understanding the argument that follows (which is in no way dependent on knowledge and belief being synonymous words).

---------- Post added 02-08-2010 at 02:07 AM ----------





But "knowledge" and "belief" are not synonymous. So how can you make a point by supposing that they are? Could you just make your point neat?

Sometimes people try to argue that there is no difference between knowledge and belief because when we believe we know we may be mistaken and only believe. Perhaps that is what you are trying to say. Well, it is true that when we believe we know we may be mistaken and not know at all. But that does not show that there is no difference between knowledge and belief. It just shows that we may be mistaken about whether we know just as we may be mistaken about anything else, for example whether we have been checkmated in chess. It might be that we think we are checkmated and be mistaken because we are not, but that does not mean there is no difference between being checkmated and not being checkmated. What you appear to be supposing (if this is your view) is that if we know, then it should not be possible to be mistaken about whether we know, and that if we know, we should know we know. But, since we can be mistaken about whether we know, we don't know at all. But your premise (if that is what you are arguing) is false. It is not true that if we know then we should not be possible to believe that we don't know. (By the way, there are interesting reasons why people may think that if they know they should know that they know)

I am not sure that the above really is your argument, but, as I said, some people do argue that way, and it does appear similar to what you have been saying.

Again, since the capital of Ecuador might have been Guyaqull and not Quito, it cannot be that the capital of Ecuador is Quito "by definition". What the capital city is decided by convention (definition). But that does not mean it is the capital city by convention (definition). I think you are confusing how a city became the capital with its being the capital however it became the capital.

---------- Post added 02-08-2010 at 07:45 AM ----------

Emil;126054 wrote:
That's right, but you can still avoid many misunderstandings by not using shorthands such as the one you used there. Besides, maybe you should look up the this even though the quality of that article is low.

Yes, it may be customary (I don't know but you do) but that is insufficient reason alone, I think, to use the phrase.


I am not sure whether there is a fallacy of the perfect solution. You cannot argue, for instance, that the Gettier objection commits that fallacy because it assumes there might be a perfect solution to what is the analysis of knowledge.
 
ACB
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 06:53 am
@Scottydamion,
Scottydamion - Sorry, I do not understand your point. This is what you said:

Scottydamion;125697 wrote:
I also do not understand why there is a distinction between a necessary truth and a truth... to me the difference seems arbitrary, because I do not agree that there is a difference between the truths of 1+1=2 and Jefferson City is the capitol of Missouri. Both can be changed, they are merely symbolic... Look, I understand you will probably reply by explaining the difference between necessary truth and truth, but I know that already, my objection arises out of what I take will be a disagreement about what can be distinguished as reality, and also a disconnect I see as the symbolism of words is taken literally.


If you know the difference between necessary truth and truth, how do you not understand "why there is a distinction" between them? Can you clarify your position, please?

I was trying to explain that there is, in my opinion, a difference between the truths of "1+1=2" and "Jefferson City is the capital of Missouri". If you think my argument on this point is wrong, I would be interested to know why.

I am not clear as to what you mean by "by changing the city you are changing the symbolism representing the capital of a state". I wonder if we are using the word "symbolism" differently. To me, "symbolism" refers to the representation of a thing by a word or symbol. Changing the name of a city would therefore be a change of symbol(ism), but changing the city itself (i.e. the thing referred to) would not.
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 07:13 am
@ACB,
ACB;126089 wrote:
Scottydamion - Sorry, I do not understand your point. This is what you said:



If you know the difference between necessary truth and truth, how do you not understand "why there is a distinction" between them? Can you clarify your position, please?

I was trying to explain that there is, in my opinion, a difference between the truths of "1+1=2" and "Jefferson City is the capital of Missouri". If you think my argument on this point is wrong, I would be interested to know why.

I am not clear as to what you mean by "by changing the city you are changing the symbolism representing the capital of a state". I wonder if we are using the word "symbolism" differently. To me, "symbolism" refers to the representation of a thing by a word or symbol. Changing the name of a city would therefore be a change of symbol(ism), but changing the city itself (i.e. the thing referred to) would not.


Maybe he just means that if the cities have different names, if the city which is the capital is changed to another city, then the name of the capital will change too. And that is true enough, but I don't see its relevance.
 
ACB
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 08:25 am
@kennethamy,
Kennethamy - I'd like to pick up a small point in your post #265:

kennethamy;125377 wrote:
Consider an example. I claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador. And it is the capital of Ecuador.


So:
1. You claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador.
2. It is the capital of Ecuador.
3. You don't have to be certain in order to claim to know. You are not infallible.

From (3) we get:

4. It is (remotely) possible that Quito is not the capital of Ecuador.

Now, doesn't (4) contradict (2)? Aren't you saying, in effect: "Quito is the capital of Ecuador, but it possibly isn't"? This is, I think, why people keep bringing up the issue of certainty.

I agree that you don't have to be certain in order to claim to know. But a problem arises when you make categorical statements such as "And it is the capital of Ecuador". This is like saying: "Of course I might conceivably be wrong, but actually I'm not"! You are simultaneously adopting a subjective and an objective view.

So I think it would be better to express your example conditionally:

"I claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador. And if it is the capital of Ecuador, then I do know it."
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 08:33 am
@ACB,
ACB;126128 wrote:
Kennethamy - I'd like to pick up a small point in your post #265:



So:
1. You claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador.
2. It is the capital of Ecuador.
3. You don't have to be certain in order to claim to know. You are not infallible.

From (3) we get:

4. It is (remotely) possible that Quito is not the capital of Ecuador.

Now, doesn't (4) contradict (2)? Aren't you saying, in effect: "Quito is the capital of Ecuador, but it possibly isn't"? This is, I think, why people keep bringing up the issue of certainty.

I agree that you don't have to be certain in order to claim to know. But a problem arises when you make categorical statements such as "And it is the capital of Ecuador". This is like saying: "Of course I might conceivably be wrong, but actually I'm not"! You are simultaneously adopting a subjective and an objective view.

So I think it would be better to express your example conditionally:

"I claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador. And if it is the capital of Ecuador, then I do know it."


But it is possible that Quito is not the capital of Ecuador, in at least two ways. It is logically possible, since the negation is not a contradiction; and it is epistemically possible, since our evidence for the proposition is inductive and not deductive.

I did not say you don't have to be certain in order to claim to know (in fact, I think you should be pretty sure if you claim to know, otherwise you would be misleading). I said that you don't have to be certain in order to know. Quite a different thing.

(Claiming to know is one thing, but knowing is a very different thing, and they are independent of one another. A major problem is that they are often confused. As above).
 
Emil
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 08:41 am
@ACB,
ACB;126128 wrote:
Kennethamy - I'd like to pick up a small point in your post #265:



So:
1. You claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador.
2. It is the capital of Ecuador.
3. You don't have to be certain in order to claim to know. You are not infallible.

From (3) we get:

4. It is (remotely) possible that Quito is not the capital of Ecuador.

Now, doesn't (4) contradict (2)? Aren't you saying, in effect: "Quito is the capital of Ecuador, but it possibly isn't"? This is, I think, why people keep bringing up the issue of certainty.

I agree that you don't have to be certain in order to claim to know. But a problem arises when you make categorical statements such as "And it is the capital of Ecuador". This is like saying: "Of course I might conceivably be wrong, but actually I'm not"! You are simultaneously adopting a subjective and an objective view.

So I think it would be better to express your example conditionally:

"I claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador. And if it is the capital of Ecuador, then I do know it."


---------- Post added 02-08-2010 at 03:43 PM ----------

kennethamy;126130 wrote:
But it is possible that Quito is not the capital of Ecuador, in at least two ways. It is logically possible, since the negation is not a contradiction; and it is epistemically possible, since our evidence for the proposition is inductive and not deductive.

I did not say you don't have to be certain in order to claim to know (in fact, I think you should be pretty sure if you claim to know, otherwise you would be misleading). I said that you don't have to be certain in order to know. Quite a different thing.

(Claiming to know is one thing, but knowing is a very different thing, and they are independent of one another. A major problem is that they are often confused. As above).


Careful with that epistemic possibility notion. It can mean two things, at least: 1) that you (or someone else) are not epistemically certain that P. 2) That it is epistemically possible that not-P. These are easily confused. The latter would contradict your knowledge claim. I think you mean the first. If you do, then I agree with you.

Also careful not to conflate psychological certainty with epistemic certainty.
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 08:48 am
@Emil,
Emil;126133 wrote:


---------- Post added 02-08-2010 at 03:43 PM ----------



Careful with that epistemic possibility notion. It can mean two things, at least: 1) that you (or someone else) are not epistemically certain that P. 2) That it is epistemically possible that not-P. These are easily confused. The latter would contradict your knowledge claim. I think you mean the first. If you do, then I agree with you.

Also careful not to conflate psychological certainty with epistemic certainty.



If it is right, then you can be sure I mean it. But if it is wrong, you can be sure I don't mean it. That's a foolproof method for telling whether I mean one interpretation of another. (I agree about "epistemic possibility).
 
Emil
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 08:50 am
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;126135 wrote:
If it is right, then you can be sure I mean it. But if it is wrong, you can be sure I don't mean it. That's a foolproof method for telling whether I mean one interpretation of another. (I agree about "epistemic possibility).


Hah. We agree about everything then!
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 08:52 am
@Emil,
Emil;126136 wrote:
Hah. We agree about everything then!


Absolutely (if you will pardon the expression).
 
fast
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 09:20 am
@ACB,
ACB;126128 wrote:
Kennethamy - I'd like to pick up a small point in your post #265:



So:
1. You claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador.
2. It is the capital of Ecuador.
3. You don't have to be certain in order to claim to know. You are not infallible.

From (3) we get:

4. It is (remotely) possible that Quito is not the capital of Ecuador.

Now, doesn't (4) contradict (2)? Aren't you saying, in effect: "Quito is the capital of Ecuador, but it possibly isn't"? This is, I think, why people keep bringing up the issue of certainty.

I agree that you don't have to be certain in order to claim to know. But a problem arises when you make categorical statements such as "And it is the capital of Ecuador". This is like saying: "Of course I might conceivably be wrong, but actually I'm not"! You are simultaneously adopting a subjective and an objective view.

So I think it would be better to express your example conditionally:

"I claim to know that Quito is the capital of Ecuador. And if it is the capital of Ecuador, then I do know it."


I flipped a coin, and it landed on either heads or tails, but you don't know which side it landed on, but you know that the following propositions are true:

P1: The coin is possibly on tails.
P2: The coin is possibly on heads.

Then, you look at the coin, and now you know the following propositions are true:

P3: The coin is on tails.
P4: The coin is not on heads.

Now that you have knowledge and know what side the coin is on, you make the mistake of thinking that P2 is false-a mistake you didn't make when you didn't know what the coin landed on.

The lesson is: Don't let your knowledge of what is the case distract you from knowing what is possibly the case.
 
Zetherin
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 09:59 am
@fast,
fast;126151 wrote:
I flipped a coin, and it landed on either heads or tails, but you don't know which side it landed on, but you know that the following propositions are true:

P1: The coin is possibly on tails.
P2: The coin is possibly on heads.

Then, you look at the coin, and now you know the following propositions are true:

P3: The coin is on tails.
P4: The coin is not on heads.

Now that you have knowledge and know what side the coin is on, you make the mistake of thinking that P2 is false-a mistake you didn't make when you didn't know what the coin landed on.

The lesson is: Don't let your knowledge of what is the case distract you from knowing what is possibly the case.


If P3 is true, how can P2 be true? How can it possibly be on heads, if it is on tails? You're claiming the truth, that the coin is on tails, is possibly not the truth? We should always consider that the truth isn't the truth, even after we know the truth?

The two sides of the coin imply two possibilites, but after the coin is flipped, it's not a matter of possibility anymore. It is on either side. P1 and P2 don't apply to a flipped coin, do they? Perhaps they only apply to a flipping coin.

Or perhaps you are correct.
 
fast
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 10:42 am
@Zetherin,
[QUOTE=Zetherin;126160]If P3 is true, how can P2 be true? How can it possibly be on heads, if it is on tails?[/QUOTE]You know what they say, "With God, all things are possible." It seems that with logic, the same is true. With logic, all things are possible. The only exception is that of contradictions.

"The coin is on tails," and "the coin is on heads" is a contradiction, but "the coin is on tails," and "the coin is possibly on heads" is not a contradiction. We need to distinguish between "the coin is on heads" and "the coin is possibly on heads." Not the same.

You seem to think that if the coin is on tails, then there is no room for the possibility that it's on heads, but (and again) "the possibility that it's on heads" and "it's on heads" are not the same thing.

PS: this isn't limited to flipping coins:

Suppose you don't know the capital of Peru and I say that it might be Lima. The following propositions are true:

P1: The capital of Peru is possibly Lima
P2: The capital of Peru is possibly something else.

Then, you discover that the capital of Peru is Lima, so the following are true:

P3: The capital of Peru is Lima.
P4: The capital of Peru is not other than Lima

That P3 is true doesn't imply that P2 is false.
 
Emil
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 11:12 am
@Zetherin,
Zetherin;126160 wrote:
If P3 is true, how can P2 be true? How can it possibly be on heads, if it is on tails? You're claiming the truth, that the coin is on tails, is possibly not the truth? We should always consider that the truth isn't the truth, even after we know the truth?

The two sides of the coin imply two possibilites, but after the coin is flipped, it's not a matter of possibility anymore. It is on either side. P1 and P2 don't apply to a flipped coin, do they? Perhaps they only apply to a flipping coin.

Or perhaps you are correct.


You may want to look up the definition of logical possibility.
 
Zetherin
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 12:34 pm
@Emil,
Emil;126173 wrote:
You may want to look up the definition of logical possibility.


Why would I do that, when I know what logical possibility is? In fact, I have used the term in many of my postings. Perhaps you just want me to refresh my memory as a nice gesture. Thank you for the sentiment.

The issue is that I have qualms in regards to the term's practical application.

If someone flipped a coin, showed me it was heads, and then told me, "Well, it's possibly tails", I would think that person mad. I would say, "No, it's not possibly tails, it is heads". It would be essential that the person clarified the matter by making sure I understood he was speaking of logical possibility, that is, a non-contradiction. When we ordinarily use the word "possibility", I think plausibility is involved.

fast wrote:

Suppose you don't know the capital of Peru and I say that it might be Lima. The following propositions are true:

P1: The capital of Peru is possibly Lima
P2: The capital of Peru is possibly something else.

Then, you discover that the capital of Peru is Lima, so the following are true:

P3: The capital of Peru is Lima.
P4: The capital of Peru is not other than Lima

That P3 is true doesn't imply that P2 is false.


Really, you must clarify you're speaking of logical possibility. If you don't clarify, you'll get some :perplexed: looks.

PS: This is the sort of thing that makes philosophy seem so impractical. Logical possibility just means logically coherent, without contradiction. Confusing it with how people ordinarily use "possibility", and more, trying to pawn it off as ordinary usage, angers me. I'm so enraged, I don't know what to do with myself. I think Robert Deniro said that last part.

Ain't noone buyin' this stuff in rl, guys. :nonooo:
 
fast
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 01:23 pm
@fast,
Jumping 50 feet straight up in the air (unaided) is possible in one sense of the term. It's possible in that it's logically possible-since it's not a contradiction.

Jumping 50 feet straight up in the air (unaided) is not possible in one sense of the term. It's not possible in that it's not a real possibility-who can jump that high?

Jumping two feet straight up in the air (unaided) is possible in both senses of the term. It's not only logically possible, but it's a real possibility as well.

The same with the coin example; both landing on heads and landing on tails (but not at the same time, of course) is both a logical possibility and a real possibility.

Yet, you would still say: "It's not really possible that it can be on heads if it's on tails," but that's different than it's not really on heads if it's on tails. What sense of "possible" would you be using?
 
Emil
 
Reply Mon 8 Feb, 2010 01:40 pm
@Zetherin,
Zetherin;126192 wrote:
Why would I do that, when I know what logical possibility is? In fact, I have used the term in many of my postings. Perhaps you just want me to refresh my memory as a nice gesture. Thank you for the sentiment.


But then why do you think P3's truth value have anything relevant to do with P2? I don't get it. It seemed reasonable that you had forgotten what logically possible means and were instead thinking of, say, relative logical possibility or something else. I can't read minds.

Quote:
The issue is that I have qualms in regards to the term's practical application.

If someone flipped a coin, showed me it was heads, and then told me, "Well, it's possibly tails", I would think that person mad. I would say, "No, it's not possibly tails, it is heads". It would be essential that the person clarified the matter by making sure I understood he was speaking of logical possibility, that is, a non-contradiction. When we ordinarily use the word "possibility", I think plausibility is involved.
That's right. It would be odd to say that it is logically possible tails, but not wrong.
However, you are giving the "possible" word here an epistemically possibility interpretation, which is sort of common. That it is epistemically possible that P implies that the relevant person(s) do not know that P or that not-P. But in your example the person knows that it is heads, so it is false that it is epistemically possible tails.

Quote:
Really, you must clarify you're speaking of logical possibility. If you don't clarify, you'll get some looks.
I always assume philosophers or people on philosophy forums mean logical possibility with the words "possibility" and "possible". That is the most commonly used one. Do you think my assumption is a bad idea? When the same people speak of "may be the case" and similar expressions I am more inclined to think they mean epistemic possibility. But still I can't read minds and it is annoying that they do not specify what they mean. (I was going to leave it at this, but then I would be acting in just the way that I complained about! It is logically possible for me to read other people's minds. But I meant physical possibility. )

Quote:
PS: This is the sort of thing that makes philosophy seem so impractical. Logical possibility just means logically coherent, without contradiction. Confusing it with how people ordinarily use "possibility", and more, trying to pawn it off as ordinary usage, angers me. I'm so enraged, I don't know what to do with myself. I think Robert Deniro said that last part.

Ain't noone buyin' this stuff in rl, guys.
It doesn't matter what 'people buy irl'. Most people are morons. I don't think anyone is confusing what people normally mean by "possible" with logical possibility here. Surely people mean lots of different things (without them knowing!) with words like "possible", "might" etc.

And yes, philosophy is impractical and I am an arrogant prick and maybe I didn't choose the interpretation that is the most plausible on my first glance. Happy now? Smile

---------- Post added 02-08-2010 at 08:41 PM ----------

fast;126200 wrote:
Jumping 50 feet straight up in the air (unaided) is possible in one sense of the term. It's possible in that it's logically possible-since it's not a contradiction.

Jumping 50 feet straight up in the air (unaided) is not possible in one sense of the term. It's not possible in that it's not a real possibility-who can jump that high?

Jumping two feet straight up in the air (unaided) is possible in both senses of the term. It's not only logically possible, but it's a real possibility as well.

The same with the coin example; both landing on heads and landing on tails (but not at the same time, of course) is both a logical possibility and a real possibility.

Yet, you would still say: "It's not really possible that it can be on heads if it's on tails," but that's different than it's not really on heads if it's on tails. What sense of "possible" would you be using?


Either relative logical possibility or epistemic possibility with some other assumptions would align with what he wrote. It's the guessing game!
 
 

 
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