Fricking Earth Day Again!

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Didymos Thomas
 
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 04:12 pm
@EmperorNero,
Yeah, but you need some support:

BEYOND THE IVORY TOWER: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change -- Oreskes 306 (5702): 1686 -- Science

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, National Academy of Science, The American Meteorological Society, American Geophysical Union, American Association for the Advancement of Science

All of these bodies "have issued statements in recent years concluding that the evidence for human modification of climate is compelling".

To deny, as a layman, the expertise of such a vast array of experts is silly. It's foolish. If your doctor says "Sir, you have cancer", and the next three doctors you visit confirm the diagnosis, to run around saying "I do not have cancer!" would be insane. That's what you are doing with Global Warming.
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 04:18 pm
@EmperorNero,
I enjoyed some of our other debates, Didymos. Like that one on ethics. I sense some hostility. I hope the marijuana thing didn't cause that.

Even if there was a consensus, since when is that a valid argument?
Say, at what percentage does a badly covered combination of appeal to majority belief and appeal to authority stop being a fallacy? 30% 51% 85%

Quote:
There are nearly 18,000 signatures from scientists worldwide on a petition called The Oregon Petition which says that there is no evidence for man-made global warming theory nor for any impact from mankind's activities on climate.

ABD - Green myths on global warming
 
Didymos Thomas
 
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 04:36 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
I enjoyed some of our other debates, Didymos. Like that one on ethics. I sense some hostility. I hope the marijuana thing didn't cause that.


Heck no! No hostility at all, friend.

EmperorNero wrote:
Even if there was a consensus, since when is that a valid argument?


When a group of laymen discuss an issue which relies on the work of experts. If, for example, we discuss whether or not alcoholism is destructive to the human body, as laypeople, we have no option but to rely on the word of experts. When the vast majority of experts agree that alcoholism is destructive to the human body, we laypeople have no option but to agree with those experts. To deny that alcoholism is destructive to the human body in the face of this expert support, based on a few detractors, is nonsensical.

As for your Oregon Petition, you should look into the sort of "experts" who sign the document. Many do not have any expertise in any science whatsoever. According to Scientific American actual petition supports includes roughly 200 climate researchers - not 18,000.

Further, the claims of the petition have never been submitted for peer review. In other words, it is scientific gossip as opposed to science.
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 04:43 pm
@Didymos Thomas,
Didymos Thomas;60885 wrote:
Heck no! No hostility at all, friend.


Great. I'm off for today, don't hurry with a response. Smile

Didymos Thomas;60885 wrote:
When a group of laymen discuss an issue which relies on the work of experts. If, for example, we discuss whether or not alcoholism is destructive to the human body, as laypeople, we have no option but to rely on the word of experts. When the vast majority of experts agree that alcoholism is destructive to the human body, we laypeople have no option but to agree with those experts. To deny that alcoholism is destructive to the human body in the face of this expert support, based on a few detractors, is nonsensical.


There is no claim of consensus that alcoholism is destructive to the human body. That is science. The claim of consensus is entirely unscientific, it is a political tool. And I ask you why it would be needed if not for justifying policies. Is all this propaganda purely to save the earth from getting warmer? Why isn't that peddle as a "environmentalism package" together with not poisoning lakes and saving the rain forest? Because saving the world isn't the goal.
There is no doubt in my mind that the science is phony. Yet maybe it was invented for the right reasons. To throttle overconsumption in western nations to a somewhat more sustainable level. And maybe the US is rejecting it for the wrong reasons. To keep on consuming. But noble cause does not change that the science is phony and that it is peddled with authoritarian propaganda and indoctrination methods. You can support the conclusion of the story and as an philosopher still be aware that it is untrue.
 
Didymos Thomas
 
Reply Fri 1 May, 2009 05:27 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:

There is no claim of consensus that alcoholism is destructive to the human body.


Actually, there is. Medical practitioners universally agree that alcohol is destructive to the human body. They agree to this because they look at evidence - just like climate researchers have a near universal agreement that human caused global warming is real because of the evidence they gather.

EmperorNero wrote:
The claim of consensus is entirely unscientific, it is a political tool.


No sir. The claim of consensus is not unscientific: the reason why there is a consensus in the first place is due to the scientific evidence.

EmperorNero wrote:
And I ask you why it would be needed if not for justifying policies.


Not for justifying policies: but for the sake of identifying problems, the source of the problems, and the development of pragmatic policies that address the problems identified by science.

EmperorNero wrote:
Is all this propaganda purely to save the earth from getting warmer?


It isn't propaganda: it's the scientific community telling the rest of us that there is a real problem. Unfortunately, some of us cover our ears and hum, refusing to accept reality, preferring the claims of the Association of British Drivers to the claims of many prestigious scientific organizations. British Drivers have no expertise whereas members of the National Academy of Science et. al. are experts.

EmperorNero wrote:
Why isn't that peddle as a "environmentalism package" together with not poisoning lakes and saving the rain forest? Because saving the world isn't the goal.


Because poisoned lakes and global warming have different causes. The former is caused by the overuse of pesticides, improper waste disposal, ect, where as the later is caused by excessive CO2 emissions, ect.

EmperorNero wrote:
There is no doubt in my mind that the science is phony.


I'm terribly sorry to hear over and over again that you refuse to acknowledge the facts. That's a shame.
 
xris
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 03:40 am
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
I enjoyed some of our other debates, Didymos. Like that one on ethics. I sense some hostility. I hope the marijuana thing didn't cause that.

Even if there was a consensus, since when is that a valid argument?
Say, at what percentage does a badly covered combination of appeal to majority belief and appeal to authority stop being a fallacy? 30% 51% 85%


ABD - Green myths on global warming
The majority of those scientists listed have stated that they where not even asked about their opinions and in fact they believed global warming was man made.Its another occasion when the facts are blatantly altered to suit the oil companies agenda.If i know this, i'm sure you do so i suspect your motives, friend.
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 04:32 am
@Didymos Thomas,
Didymos Thomas wrote:
Actually, there is. Medical practitioners universally agree that alcohol is destructive to the human body.


They universally agree, but there is no claim of consensus made by anyone. If there actually is consensus, that is usually not mentioned, because making the claim is unscientific. Scientific evidence and the claim of consensus and are completely unrelated. The claim of consensus does not depend on evidence, and it needs only to be made if the science is not sufficient.

Quote:
I want to pause here and talk about this notion of consensus, and the rise of what has been called consensus science. I regard consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped cold in its tracks. Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled. Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you're being had.

Quote:
Probably every schoolchild notices that South America and Africa seem to fit together rather snugly, and Alfred Wegener proposed, in 1912, that the continents had in fact drifted apart. The consensus sneered at continental drift for fifty years. The theory was most vigorously denied by the great names of geology-until 1961, when it began to seem as if the sea floors were spreading. The result: it took the consensus fifty years to acknowledge what any schoolchild sees.


MichaelCrichton.com | Aliens Cause Global Warming <- Important read, if you have the time.

I am surprised that you didn't respond to the last part of my post. That was the important part.
There is no doubt in my mind that the science is phony. Yet maybe it was invented for the right reasons. To throttle overconsumption in western nations to a somewhat more sustainable level. And maybe the US is rejecting it for the wrong reasons. To keep on consuming. But noble cause does not change that the science is phony and that it is peddled with authoritarian propaganda and indoctrination methods. You can support the conclusion of the story and as an philosopher still be aware that it is untrue.

As you can see from a link I posted earlier, most citizens are not concerned about global warming. But that doesn't really matter, as long as the politicians can say they are concerned about it to justify policies. Which they strangely all do. I ask you why you think politicians are so strangely infatuated with this one theory? Btw. the next generation of citizens will probably be very concerned about it. *cough*[SIZE="1"]indoctrination[/SIZE]*cough*
Oh, and please place your jewelery on the table before entering the gas-cham... um... shower.
 
xris
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 11:50 am
@EmperorNero,
Did you answer my question?
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 11:52 am
@xris,
xris;60978 wrote:
Did you answer my question?


Sorry, there was no question. You made a statement and I disagree. I think it is impossible to prove either side, so I didn't comment.
 
xris
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 12:29 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
Sorry, there was no question. You made a statement and I disagree. I think it is impossible to prove either side, so I didn't comment.
No it aint that easy..are scientists lying? come on dont be frightened.
 
GoshisDead
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 12:33 pm
@xris,
I think you guys (Nero) and (Thomas) should change your names to Al Franken and Stephen Colbert.
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 12:40 pm
@xris,
xris;60987 wrote:
No it aint that easy..are scientists lying? come on dont be frightened.


EmperorNero;60854 wrote:
In that phrasing, no. I don't think a large number of scientists are really supporting the global warming theory.
As for those who do support it, I wouldn't say they are lying, but being forced by todays financial reality of being a scientist to emphasize what their bosses want to hear (and leave out the rest).

---------- Post added at 08:44 PM ---------- Previous post was at 08:33 PM ----------

xris, you always say that greed is the reason that moral obligations are forgotten in the pursuit of income, why is that different with global warming scientists? They are trying to make a living.

________________
 
xris
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:00 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
________________
answer the question are those scientists lying???? its a simple question??????
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:05 pm
@xris,
xris;60997 wrote:
answer the question are those scientists lying???? its a simple question??????


No. I don't think they are lying.
And even scientists are humans, they can mistake.

It was in that quote. I don't think there really is a consensus.

The ones who advocate global warming are not exactly lying.
Knowing that a certain result of their studies is what will get them ahead, they intentionally or unintentionally make that result happen.

How would your studies end up if you know that one outcome will get you a grant and the opposite will get you no grant and a smaller office with no daylight.
 
xris
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:25 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
No. I don't think they are lying.
And even scientists are humans, they can mistake.

It was in that quote. I don't think there really is a consensus.

The ones who advocate global warming are not exactly lying.
Knowing that a certain result of their studies is what will get them ahead, they intentionally or unintentionally make that result happen.

How would your studies end up if you know that one outcome will get you a grant and the opposite will get you no grant and a smaller office with no daylight.
So they are not lying but they are lying to get grants..oh my oh my ...So now we have it ..the scientists are all lying to get grants from government departments.
This is the intention of the scientific world to manipulate their figures to satisfy those who give them grants....What or how can i make a logical and reasonable response to that accusation.THE SCIENTISTS ARE LYING...Bells are ringing , green protesters crying..oil companies are rejoicing...governments are resigning...coal mine shares are soaring..Oh we are saved the earth is no longer warming the oceans are not becoming acidic ,oh hallelujah brother hallelujah...
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:38 pm
@xris,
xris;61008 wrote:
So they are not lying but they are lying to get grants..oh my oh my ...So now we have it ..the scientists are all lying to get grants from government departments.
This is the intention of the scientific world to manipulate their figures to satisfy those who give them grants....


Pretty much. Are you saying there intentions are the noble seeking of the truth, and they don't care about their careers? Weren't you the one saying that people are greedy and forget morales?
 
xris
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:46 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
Pretty much. Are you saying there intentions are the noble seeking of the truth, and they don't care about their careers? Weren't you the one saying that people are greedy and forget morales?
Don't play the press , you are making an enormous claim here one that you cant retract.The whole of the scientific world lies about its findings so it can receive grants .I must admit its a bit of shock to realise that our scientists are fraudulent , what should i think when i read the next new scientist..The whole world is being misled by our scientific community...oh oh oh ..
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 01:50 pm
@EmperorNero,
Not at all. I said a few times that many scientists don't agree with global warming. Maybe not even half. Those who do don't all lie. They bend results a little. And results that support global warming are emphasized by media and politicians, those that are no, are buried.
It's actually pretty straight forward, if you think about it.
 
xris
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 02:00 pm
@EmperorNero,
EmperorNero wrote:
Not at all. I said a few times that many scientists don't agree with global warming. Maybe not even half. Those who do don't all lie. They bend results a little. And results that support global warming are emphasized by media and politicians, those that are no, are buried.
It's actually pretty straight forward, if you think about it.
The only thing thats straight is the truth which you appear to ignore.The vast majority and i can prove that point if pushed state by their figures that the world is warming more and faster than any other time in the earths history and the cause is mans excessive use of fossil fuels.
To say they are lying because of government pressure is a disgusting smear on our valued scientific community.
Give me the names of those scientists...scientists..that are determined to announce that we have no global warming and its not man influence..Ill give you as much time as you need...For every one i can guarantee at least three in reply..
 
EmperorNero
 
Reply Sat 2 May, 2009 02:03 pm
@xris,
xris;61026 wrote:
the world is warming more and faster than any other time in the earths history and the cause is mans excessive use of fossil fuels.


The earth was warming faster in 1715.

The earth has been cooling for the last 7 years.

Enough scientists are saying that, but that's "right wing propaganda".
It's not reported on.
The number of scientist saying one or the other doesn't really matter if only the one side is reported on.
 
 

 
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