The Fatal Paradox

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mark noble
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 10:16 am
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;162408 wrote:
Not unless the cheese is hard cheese. But, yes. I agree whole-heartedly.


Hi Ken,

Seeing that you believe the moon's primary composition is a Hard cheeselike substance, do you think you would be able to specify - What cheese - you think it might be?

Do you think the resources there are economically viable to gather? And could it solve the problem of future/past famine? - Or merely add to the current obesity conundrum?

Thank you and fare well.

Mark...
 
Extrain
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 10:48 am
@fast,
fast;162421 wrote:
[CENTER]The Scarlet Letter "D"[/CENTER]









1) If there was a past event, then there was a cause prior to that past event, but what she neglected to tell me was that if there was a past event, then there was a subsequent event to that past event. Yes, I always knew that to be true, but never did I hear it uttered from the mouth of my dear determinism.

2) If there is a current event, then there is a cause prior to the current event, but what she neglected to tell me was that if there is a current event, then there is going to be a subsequent event to the current event. Again yes, I always knew that to be true, but never did I think it was something determinism should say.

3) If there will be a future event, then there will be a cause prior to the future event, but what she neglected to tell me was that if there is a future event, then, there will be a subsequent event to the future event. Finally, I always knew that to be true, but never did I think (not even for a moment) that it was her place to tell me, nor would I have ever expected that she was going around telling others such things that she neglected to tell me.

Why O why has she led me astray!? Will she continue to be untruthful until my dying day? Any idiot knows that two plus two is four, but never has Ms. Determinism felt the need to utter that truth to me! Nor do I believe it was ever her place to.

There's still a place in my heart for thinking that maybe it was never her place to tell me about what will happen subsequent to events that have antecedent causes, and maybe (just maybe) she is not really the one saying all those things others attribute her to saying, but if I'm mistaken on that account such that she is as deceitful as I now suspect that she may be, then it saddens me greatly that I will have to take her fishing southern style-being fed to alligators, that is.


Did you write this? It's cute...what is it with philosopher's and their "deceitful mistresses"? lol.

Yes, sometimes it is unclear what determinism is actually saying. There seem to be analytic truths such as "every effect has a cause" and synthetic truths such as "every event has a cause." They are not the same. And we have to careful formulating what it is determinism actually is saying. What is it saying? For purposes of precision and clarity, when it comes to the topic of "determinism vs. fatalism," we have to be very precise as to what we mean by those terms, otherwise, confusion abounds.

Here's an example. I know some determinists who think the future doesn't exist at all. Therefore, it could easily be false that the future is determined, simply because they think the future does not exist at all.

Also, many think the universe only contingently exists, so what sense is there in calling any physical event "necessary" to begin with?

Futher, some think it is necessarily the case that every effect has a cause, since it is a necessary analytic truth that every effect has a cause, but that it is only synthetically a posteriori true to say that every "current" event has an effect (or a cause) since it is a synthetic a posteriori truth that every event has a an effect (or a cause), because it is a synthetic a posteriori claim that every event is an effect and every event is a cause (Kant)--all of these claims are only a posteriori, synthetically, and contingently true. So it might not be the case that there is even going to be a future since "God" could easily annihilate the universe in the blink of an eye.

(Also, it might not have been the case that there ever was a past, either, since there is nothing necessary about the past existing. Like Russell said, the past might not have ever existed since it is certainly possible the universe was created 5 minutes ago with our alleged "memories" instilled as to what we think actually happened, with respect to what, in fact, never happened. Russell did not actually endorse that we should believe this--he just said it was possible.)

many different takes on this...
 
Fil Albuquerque
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 10:53 am
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;162376 wrote:
You are starting to wander again.


Oh am I ? Hmm... a bit less of arrogance would be great in your case.

YouTube - Do we really exist?

---------- Post added 05-10-2010 at 11:54 AM ----------

How do you think this would work without Hard determinism being true possibility, and eventually, even Fatalism ?
 
fast
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 12:09 pm
@kennethamy,
[QUOTE=Extrain;162432]Did you write this?[/QUOTE]Yes. And thank you.

I do believe that where there is no effect, there is no cause. To Say X caused Y is equivalent to saying Y is the effect of X. You can't have one without the other. They are inseparable.

But, the events are not concurrent. Event X is before event Y; likewise, event Y is after event X. However, is determinism the view that every event has an antecedent cause, or is it the view that every event has both an antecedent cause and a subsequent effect?

The next time someone tells me that determinism is the view that all events have strict (whatever that means) antecedent causes, then maybe I should retort, "yeah, and the letters A through M are the letters that are included in the English alphabet."

This is why I'm criticizing my dear determinism. It may be that she has only been telling me half the story, so I'm in a dilemma as I wonder, is it the case that she has been telling me the whole story and thus determinism only speaks to causes antecedent to all events (past, present, and future), or has she only been giving me half the story and thus determinism speaks not only to the antecedent causes of all events but speaks to the subsequent effects of events as well?

Regardless, we all agree (as we should) that determinism is most certainly not the view that what will happen must happen. Although I do agree that what will happen will happen (trivially true of a statement that is), I have not been given sufficient reason to attribute that truth to the claims made by determinism.

Yes, events have subsequent effects just as they have antecedent causes, so there are two truths to deal with--not just one. The question is who is saying what? I had thought that determinism espoused only one of those truths whereas you think that determinism espouses them both. I agree that both are true, but who shall we attribute that truth to? That's what preys on my mind.

If you're right (which I'm beginning to suspect you are), then I'm doing this topic a serious injustice by saying that determinism is the view that all events have antecedent causes (true as it is) in much the same way I would be doing an injustice to all those who ask what letters are included in the alphabet and speak the truth about the fact that the letters "A" through "M" are letters included in the English alphabet.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 01:23 pm
@fast,
fast;162451 wrote:
I do believe that where there is no effect, there is no cause. To Say X caused Y is equivalent to saying Y is the effect of X. You can't have one without the other. They are inseparable.
Yes, exactly.

[QUOTE=fast;162451] But, the events are not concurrent. Event X is before event Y; likewise, event Y is after event X. However, is determinism the view that every event has an antecedent cause, or is it the view that every event has both an antecedent cause and a subsequent effect?[/QUOTE]FYI, "antecedent" doesn't always mean "temporally prior to." Strictly, in philosophical terms, it has the bare meaning of "logically prior to." In statements like "If P then Q," "P" is the antecedent and "Q" is the consequent. However, used temporally, "antecedent" means "temporally prior" and "consequent" means "subsequent to," or, "after the fact."

I mention this (though it doesn't matter too much for purposes of determinism at the moment) because I know there are some determinist philosophers who think causes are not temporally prior to their effects (nor are cause and effect even spatially separated), but rather simultaneous with their effects, since if cause and effect were not simultaneous, no effect would take place without that "prior" cause...this has something to do with the view that spatio-temporal discretely separated cause/effect relationships are not possible (because that would mean we were believing in some kind of "magical action" at a spatio-temporal distance). So, only continuously causal events are possible.

I don't know what I believe in this matter... But just think of a basketball pressing down on a blanket stretched out between 4 people. The blanket "depressing" is the effect which is simultaneous with the cause of the basketball "pressing."

(All of this has merely to do with the metaphysics of causation, and whichever way we decide to go will probably not have much impact on what the philosophical thesis of determinsim actually is...anyway.)

[QUOTE=fast;162451] Regardless, we all agree (as we should) that determinism is most certainly not the view that what will happen must happen. Although I do agree that what will happen will happen (trivially true of a statement that is), I have not been given sufficient reason to attribute that truth to the claims made by determinism.[/QUOTE]Yes. I think the most simplistic and charitable reading of what is normally construed as "determinism" is the claim that an initial condition together with the laws of nature entail every future fact. This "entailment" is merely the logical entialment of material implication--"If P then Q, P, so Q"--nothing more, nothing less. Any further additions to that view will give rise to a host of other slightly different versions of determinism. But one thing we know determinsim is not: the view that whatever happens, or will happen, must happen. That is NOT determinism. That is fatalism. So at least we know that much.

[QUOTE=fast;162451] The next time someone tells me that determinism is the view that all events have strict (whatever that means) antecedent causes, then maybe I should retort, "yeah, and the letters A through M are the letters that are included in the English alphabet."[/QUOTE]I agree. What does "strict" even mean? Someone is not being very clear at all about what he is saying. Is he a fatalist, a determinist? Is he merely saying the trivial truth that "Necessarily, every effect has a cause"? Or is he making the much stronger claim that, "Every event in the future occurs necessarily because every event has a cause"? The former is true, the latter is false because it is an invalid modal fallacy.

[QUOTE=fast;162451] This is why I'm criticizing my dear determinism. It may be that she has only been telling me half the story, so I'm in a dilemma as I wonder, is it the case that she has been telling me the whole story and thus determinism only speaks to causes antecedent to all events (past, present, and future), or has she only been giving me half the story and thus determinism speaks not only to the antecedent causes of all events but speaks to the subsequent effects of events as well?[/QUOTE]Yes, those questions are much more metaphysically loaded. I think it is very good advice that we all get our "musts," "has to," "necessarily that," and "entails that" straight before anyone proceed further so there is no ambiguity.

[QUOTE=fast;162451] If you're right (which I'm beginning to suspect you are), then I'm doing this topic a serious injustice by saying that determinism is the view that all events have antecedent causes (true as it is) in much the same way I would be doing an injustice to all those who ask what letters are included in the alphabet and speak the truth about the fact that the letters "A" through "M" are letters included in the English alphabet.[/QUOTE]No, actually you are correct. I had no intention of saying that you were wrong. I just think we need to be careful about what we say--all of us. That's all.
[QUOTE=fast;162451] Yes, events have subsequent effects just as they have antecedent causes, so there are two truths to deal with--not just one. The question is who is saying what? I had thought that determinism espoused only one of those truths whereas you think that determinism espouses them both. I agree that both are true, but who shall we attribute that truth to? That's what preys on my mind. [/QUOTE]Yes. But I am pretty sure you are mistaken. Determinism, as I have normally dealt with it in academic philosophical circles, does say both: every event is both a cause and an effect. The trick consists in analyzing what that means. And a lot of people make huge mistakes thinking it means fatalism, when it doesn't mean that at all!

This is exactly why libertarians are libertarians--sometimes I seem to think libertarians kind of "threw the baby out with the bath water" by denying the truth of determinism, and this denial ended up backfiring on the libertarian.

Libertarians can go several ways with this.... (1) They can deny that every event has a cause, since they all hold that human choices are not caused by anything. Or, (2) they can hold that, even though every event has a cause, human beings are not events, but agents of events--so that the choices of human beings are not events either. Your being born is an event, and your being born was caused by prior facts in the universe. But your choices are not an event, only the actions which proceed from your choices are events. So although the existence of human beings themselves are effects of some prior cause, their choices themselves are not caused by some prior event, since libertarins think that if they were so caused, then you would not be "free to choose" among a range of forking alternatives.

The libertarian, however, has the problem that his view backfires on him. If none of my choices have causes, then all my choices are totally random, hence I have no control over any of my own actions, and therefore, I am not free to choose in this case, either....
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 01:40 pm
@fast,
fast;162451 wrote:
Yes. And thank you.

I do believe that where there is no effect, there is no cause.


Yes, indeed. Necessarily, every effect has a cause. For if an event did not have a cause, then how could it not be an effect? Every effect has a cause is analytic, just as every cause has an effect is analytic. It is logically impossible for an effect not to have a cause, just as it is logically impossible for a sister not to be a female. So, there really is no issue as to whether every effect has a cause. The issue is whether every event has a cause, or to put it another way, whether every event is an effect. Even Hume would allow that necessarily, every effect has a cause. But Hume would certainly deny that necessarily every event has a cause, although he allowed that he believed that every event had a cause.

See the important difference between: 1. Every effect has a cause, and 2. Every event has a cause? 1. is necessarily true. But 2, if true, is certainly not necessarily true. If true, it is a contingent truth.
 
fast
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 02:06 pm
@kennethamy,
[QUOTE=Extrain;162466]This is exactly why libertarians are libertarians--sometimes I seem to think libertarians kind of "threw the baby out with the bath water" by denying the truth of determinism, and this denial ended up backfiring on the libertarian. [/QUOTE]
Extrain;162466 wrote:


Libertarians can go several ways with this.... (1) They can deny that every event has a cause, since they might hold that human choices are not caused by anything. Or, (2) they can hold that, even though every event has a cause, human beings are not events, but agents of events--so that the choices of human beings are not events either. Your being born is an event, and your being born was caused by prior facts in the universe. But your choices are not an event. So although the existence of human beings themselves are effects of some prior cause, their choices are not sufficiently caused by some prior event, since libertarins think that if they were so caused, then you would not be "free to choose" among a range of forking alternatives.

The libertarian view, however, has the problem that his view backfires on him. If none of my choices have causes, then all my choices are totally random, hence I have no control over any of my own actions, and therefore, I am not free to choose in this case, either....


My view on the Libertarian position:

I believe that everyone is either a Determinist or not a Determinist (aka Indeterminist). I believe all Libertarians are Indeterminists, so I believe that no Libertarian is a Determinist; moreover, no Indeterminist is a Determinist.

Libertarians lack belief that Determinism is true. Also, I believe all Indeterminists believe in free will, just as all Soft Determinists believe in free will, and I believe that the free will that one believes in is no different than the free will the other believes in (whether they agree with me or not).

Commentary:

You said (and I bolded above) something that implies the following: some Libertarians hold that every event has a cause. Yes, some do, but it's not merely the case that only some do. I say all do, but what you say implies that it's not the case that all do.

You seem to leave room for the possibility that some Libertarians can be Compatibilists, but no Libertarian is a Compatibilist; all Libertarians are Incompatibilists.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 02:31 pm
@fast,
fast;162488 wrote:
My view on the Libertarian position:

I believe that everyone is either a Determinist or not a Determinist (aka Indeterminist). I believe all Libertarians are Indeterminists, so I believe that no Libertarian is a Determinist; moreover, no Indeterminist is a Determinist.

Libertarians lack belief that Determinism is true. Also, I believe all Indeterminists believe in free will, just as all Soft Determinists believe in free will, and I believe that the free will that one believes in is no different than the free will the other believes in (whether they agree with me or not).
You're right on the money except for the last part. Quite often, Soft-determinists will disagree with Libertarians with respect to how we might define "free will." All libertarians think one has free will if and only if "when X does Y, X could have done Z instead." Some soft determinists might deny this, just so you know. But some still accept that definition. It gets kind of complicated.

fast;162488 wrote:

Commentary:

You said (and I bolded above) something that implies the following: some Libertarians hold that every event has a cause. Yes, some do, but it's not merely the case that only some do. I say all do, but what you say implies that it's not the case that all do.
Yes, I do imply that by (2). It's because those are the options for a libertarian who wants to take human choices outside the causal order of things by denying that human choices are events. Since determinism says all events are causes (and effects), and human choices are not events, then human choices are not effects of anything. This is not a "compatibilitst" position. Compatibilists about free will and determinism still think every human choice is an effect which has some cause. All libertarians deny this, since they think determinism is false for all human choices. So they putatively deny the claim that "everything has a cause." The distinction is on the order of everything in the universe, not on the order of events.

There are tons of problems with this though. But I know that libertarians will go either in the (1) or (2) direction. Mind you, I am not saying that this libertarian view is consistent. I am just trying to be charitable to what some of them who call themselves "Libertarians" actually believe.

[QUOTE=fast;162488] You seem to leave room for the possibility that some Libertarians can be Compatibilists,[/QUOTE]I most certainly do not.

[QUOTE=fast;162488] but no Libertarian is a Compatibilist; all Libertarians are Incompatibilists.[/QUOTE]That's right. That's exactly what incompatibilism means, "determinism and free will don't mix." If one is true, then the other must be false. Libertarians think determinism would be false for human choices if all human choices are free. Hard Determinists will agree with this claim. Hard determinists think all human choices are determined (and not free), so the doctrine of free will is false. Libertarians think no human choice is determined, so determinism for human choices is false.
 
fast
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 02:43 pm
@kennethamy,
[QUOTE=kennethamy;162475]See the important difference between: 1. Every effect has a cause, and 2. Every event has a cause? 1. is necessarily true. But 2, if true, is certainly not necessarily true. If true, it is a contingent truth.[/QUOTE]
Every past, present, and future event had, has, or will have a preceding cause, and I base this on the belief that Determinism is true, but what else ought I believe supposing that Determinism is true?

Extrain would have me believe that Determinism says that every event has a cause, which I'm fine with, but he doesn't stop there. He goes beyond that and believes that Determinism says even more. He says that determinism says that every event has a later effect. I suppose I believe every event has a later effect too, but I didn't believe that Determinism was the bearer of that truth (if it is).

In summary, he doesn't merely believe that determinism says that all events have prior causes. He also believes that in addition to that that determinism also says that all events have later effects.

Thus, he does not view that Determinism is a view limited to what happens before events (past, present, and future). He views that Determinism also says something about what happens after events (past, present, and future).

Consequently, any summary of determinism that is limited to saying that all events are antecedently caused only tells half the story about what Determinism is-if he's correct.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 02:54 pm
@fast,
fast;162494 wrote:

Every past, present, and future event had, has, or will have a preceding cause, and I base this on the belief that Determinism is true, but what else ought I believe supposing that Determinism is true?

Extrain would have me believe that Determinism says that every event has a cause, which I'm fine with, but he doesn't stop there. He goes beyond that and believes that Determinism says even more. He says that determinism says that every event has a later effect. I suppose I believe every event has a later effect too, but I didn't believe that Determinism was the bearer of that truth (if it is).
Fast, what I say falls out of the analytic truth that every effect has a cause, and every cause has an effect. If you agree that determinism says every event has a cause, then every event is an effect of some cause. This logically follows. You are contradicting yourself if you then say, "not all events have an effect" It's no longer determinism if you say this. And none of this contradicts that "every effect has a cause" is necessarily true, and "every event has a cause" is contingently true.
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 03:05 pm
@fast,
fast;162494 wrote:

Every past, present, and future event had, has, or will have a preceding cause, and I base this on the belief that Determinism is true, but what else ought I believe supposing that Determinism is true?

Extrain would have me believe that Determinism says that every event has a cause, which I'm fine with, but he doesn't stop there. He goes beyond that and believes that Determinism says even more. He says that determinism says that every event has a later effect. I suppose I believe every event has a later effect too, but I didn't believe that Determinism was the bearer of that truth (if it is).

In summary, he doesn't merely believe that determinism says that all events have prior causes. He also believes that in addition to that that determinism also says that all events have later effects.

Thus, he does not view that Determinism is a view limited to what happens before events (past, present, and future). He views that Determinism also says something about what happens after events (past, present, and future).

Consequently, any summary of determinism that is limited to saying that all events are antecedently caused only tells half the story about what Determinism is-if he's correct.


As you have said, "determinism" is not the name of anything clear. But, as far as I understand it, determinism says that every event has a cause, and that every cause is, itself, an effect. So that we have a chain of causes.
 
mark noble
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 03:11 pm
@fast,
Helo guys,

To assume that an event has no prior cause sounds absurd to me. To assume that an effect can take place without cause - also absurd. Where there is no action there can be no reaction, therefore where there is no cause, there can be no effect.

Here is where my mind tends to lead, even though I absolutely agree with the above - Where (I remain within the confines of this universe, for the purpose of this question) is there a place where no event is taking place? If such a place existed, it would prove the existence of "Nothing" And this cannot be so.

I don't wish to wander off the point though.

Do either of you believe that YOU are responsible for the decisions YOU make?

Thank you

Mark...
 
fast
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 03:14 pm
@Extrain,
[QUOTE=Extrain;162493]I most certainly do not. [/QUOTE]

Well, I only meant "seems to [to me]."

If a person tells me that he is both 1) a determinist and 2) believes in free will, then I automatically classify that person and apply the following terms to him:

3) a soft determinist
4) a compatibilist

Granted, the person in question is a Libertarian [second path] and thus an Indeterminist and thus not a Determinist and so isn't a soft determinist or compatibilist, but if the person only says to me 1) "Every event has a cause" [as stated in your post to me], and 2) I believe in free will, then you might can see how I may inadvertently misclassify such a person.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 03:17 pm
@mark noble,
mark noble;162499 wrote:
To assume that an event has no prior cause sounds absurd to me.


I agree. But just because it sounds absurd to your ears, doesn't mean it is absurd. "Every event has a cause" is a contingent truth anyway. So some people hold that some events don't have causes. Just think of the results of Quantum Indeterminacy. That some events don't have causes is not an absurd Idea unless you think the results of Quantum Mechanics are absurd. Why do you think physicists wrestle so much with that question? A lot of them have abandoned the idea of determinism as it stands because they think Quantum Mechanics shows us just this: that some events don't have causes. So many of them think determinism is actually an outdated superstition coming from scientists and philosophers of old.

mark noble;162499 wrote:
To assume that an effect can take place without cause - also absurd. Where there is no action there can be no reaction, therefore where there is no cause, there can be no effect.


Now this IS absurd. If something is an effect, how can it not have a cause?

mark noble;162499 wrote:
Do either of you believe that YOU are responsible for the decisions YOU make?


Yes, of course. Who wouldn't? Maybe Ted Bundy? You should listen to the content of his own personal self-defense at his trial hearing...

---------- Post added 05-10-2010 at 03:23 PM ----------

fast;162500 wrote:


Well, I only meant "seems to [to me]."

If a person tells me that he is both 1) a determinist and 2) believes in free will, then I automatically classify that person and apply the following terms to him:

3) a soft determinist
4) a compatibilist
Then you would be correct.

[QUOTE=fast;162500]Granted, the person in question is a Libertarian [second path] and thus an Indeterminist and thus not a Determinist and so isn't a soft determinist or compatibilist, but if the person only says to me 1) "Every event has a cause" [as stated in your post to me], and 2) I believe in free will, then you might can see how I may inadvertently misclassify such a person.[/QUOTE]Yes, it is too easy to make that mistake. All of us invariably do make these kinds of mistakes at one time or another. The issues can get rather messy, actually. Philosophers have the bad habit of doing this. This is exactly why having a solid background in logic is so essential for getting things right. Logic clears things up.
 
fast
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 03:49 pm
@kennethamy,

[QUOTE=kennethamy;162496]As you have said, "determinism" is not the name of anything clear.[/QUOTE]It doesn't seem to be; that's for sure.

[QUOTE]But, as far as I understand it, determinism says that every event has a cause, and that every cause is, itself, an effect. So that we have a chain of causes.[/QUOTE]

P1) Every event has a cause. My observation is that the proposition is true. It's either a necessary truth or a contingent truth. I believe it's a contingent truth.

P2) Every cause is an effect. My observation is that the proposition is true. It's either a necessary truth or a contingent truth. I believe it's a necessary truth.

When I put P1 and P2 together, I come up with the notion that there is a cause and effect relationship between two events. The prior event is the cause for the latter, and I take this to mean that the latter event is the effect of the prior. But, I do not interpret this to imply a chain of events. I do not know why I would refer to the second event as a cause unless it too results in a third event.

At any rate, I think I am willing to accept the notion (at least from a macro perspective) that there is a continuous cause and effect relationship between events. Of course, none of that is to say that all events that do happen must happen.

One last thing: because you said, "determinism says that every event has a cause," I just want you to know that I believe most airplanes take off from runways. But, I'm not going to admit they land until you admit that determinism says that every event (event, I say) has an effect.

That's just my funny way of saying that I think we're being selectively bias when we say that events have causes when we also believe that they have effects.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 04:11 pm
@fast,
Quote:
Posted by Extrain:
fast;162936 wrote:
Quote:
Posted by Extrain:
fast;162513 wrote:
P1) Every event has a cause. My observation is that the proposition is true. It's either a necessary truth or a contingent truth. I believe it's a contingent truth. When I put P1 and P2 together, I come up with the notion that there is a cause and effect relationship between two events. The prior event is the cause for the latter, and I take this to mean that the latter event is the effect of the prior. But, I do not interpret this to imply a chain of events. I do not know why I would refer to the second event as a cause unless it too results in a third event.


But you just explicitly admitted all events are causes. If they are, then all events have effects. This logically follows even if "all events have a cause" is contingently true. Everything that is a cause, also has an effect. That is why we dub causation "causal sufficiency." If a thing is a cause, then it has an effect paired with it.


No I didn't. At least I don't think I did. I am saying that all events have causes. Again, there is no event without a cause.
Once more, behind every event is a cause. If there was, is, or will be an event, you can bet your bottom dollar that there was, is, or will be an underlying cause for that event. That's what I am saying.

I have not said, nor did I mean to imply, that all events are causes (as you put it). They may very well be, and I think maybe (just maybe) that they are, but I do not think we should conclude that they are just because 1) all events have causes and 2) every cause is an effect.

But, notice how the lamp breaking was not a cause. It was an event that had a cause. It's premature to say that it is a cause as well.

If an event is a cause, then another event will be an effect, but why think that an event that is an effect is also a cause? Because it had a cause? It was an event and so was caused, but that doesn't mean the event itself is a cause. Maybe it would come out better if I said not every event (that has a cause and is an effect) is in turn a cause.
If there is no event without a cause, then every event has a cause. And if every event has a cause, then every event just IS an effect of some prior cause, since it is a necessary analytic truth that everying that is a cause has an effect, just as everything that is an effect has a cause. Q.E.D.

There's no other way around this. You have deny P1), and say that not every event has a cause. so I don't know what the rest of your speculations are about.
 
mark noble
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 04:18 pm
@Extrain,
Extrain;162502 wrote:
Just think of the results of Quantum Indeterminacy. That some events don't have causes is not an absurd Idea unless you think the results of Quantum Mechanics are absurd. Why do you think physicists wrestle so much with that question? A lot of them have abandoned the idea of determinism as it stands because they think Quantum Mechanics shows us just this: that some events don't have causes. So many of them think determinism is actually an outdated superstition coming from scientists and philosophers of old.


Hi extrain,
You appear to be familiar with the quandry of quantum indeterminacy. So tell me this - Is it possible that the physicists wrestle with it so much because they naturally assume that they are witnessing the actions of more than one atomic particle. Whereas it is theoretically possible that only one particle is present in all locations, but in alternate states of decay? I ask this because I believe the latter.

Thank you for your input.

Mark...
 
Extrain
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 04:25 pm
@mark noble,
mark noble;162525 wrote:
Hi extrain,
You appear to be familiar with the quandry of quantum indeterminacy. So tell me this - Is it possible that the physicists wrestle with it so much because they naturally assume that they are witnessing the actions of more than one atomic particle. Whereas it is theoretically possible that only one particle is present in all locations, but in alternate states of decay? I ask this because I believe the latter

Well, if you believe the latter, then wouldn't you also believe there is nothing absurd about quantum entanglement, and hence, some events not having causes? There are no causal relations between entangled particles, but somehow it seems they carry the "same information" as if they did interact with eachother in a causal relationship. Therefore, if there is only one particle in two different places at once, then there is no cause of this event of the particle suddenly being in two different locations at once.
 
mark noble
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 04:25 pm
@Extrain,
Extrain;162502 wrote:
Yes, of course. Who wouldn't? Maybe Ted Bundy? You should listen to the content of his own personal self-defense at his trial hearing....


Hello again,

So you clearly believe in free will?

Thank you, fare well

Mark...
 
Extrain
 
Reply Mon 10 May, 2010 04:28 pm
@mark noble,
mark noble;162527 wrote:
So you clearly believe in free will?

Yes, I do. Don't you?
 
 

 
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