The Fatal Paradox

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Amperage
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 03:03 pm
@Extrain,
Extrain;161840 wrote:
But you say things like this: "Because there is a truth value for a future tense proposition in the past, no one can change that truth value in the future"--directly implying no one has any control over the future. The way you choose your words is incredibly misleading.
I'm not trying to be. That is precisely what the principle of bivalence says.



Extrain;161840 wrote:
Wait, so does the POB say or not say that the future tense propositions have a truth value? If it does, then you are contradicting the POV. If the POB does not say this, then you are saying something false about the POB.
I don't know what the POV is but the Principle of Bivalence states that ALL propositions contain a value of either true or false but not both and not neither and the value cannot change. The POB is kind of an extension of the Law of Non-contradiction and Excluded Middle. The thing is, that the POB says ALL which means even future tense propositions. So, the proposition, Amperage will be president in the year 2024, is either true right now or false right now, but not neither, not undecided, and not both. And it's value cannot change....if it's true it will remain true now and forever; if it's false it will remain false now and forever.

So maybe you can explain what the POV is or you can use what I just wrote and answer your own question.


Extrain;161840 wrote:
We don't see any good reason to think otherwise. What do you think compatibilisim is all about? It is the attempt to arrive at a compromise between determinism and free will be rejecting fatalist implications. Fast, Ken, and myself have been criticizing your misunderstandings of this philosophical landsape for too many posts now....It's getting old.
you have been arguing by simply using the definition. I am asking why if the future is set that necessarily negates free will.

Even if the future is set that does not negate the fact that I will have freely chosen everything I am fated to.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 03:11 pm
@Amperage,
Amperage;161839 wrote:
No fatalism is not just determinism. Why? Because fate can be achieved by free will or by determinism or by random chance.


You still didn't answer my question. What are those differences? Can you specify what they are? So far, you are just making an arbitrary distinctions without telling anyone why you've made that distinction. I have a distinction, you don't.

Amperage;161839 wrote:
If you are fated to do Q this does not negate the fact you may WANT to do Q. Why would anyone think it would?


No one thinks this.

Amperage;161839 wrote:
What do I call the doctrine that everything will happen necessarily? Well that depends on if your talking about logical necessity or physical necessity. If you're talking logical necessity then there is no such doctrine. If your talking about physical necessity then I call that hard-determinism.


What is Hard determinism, and how is it different than Soft determinism?

Amperage;161839 wrote:
Free will implies that I can do things which are not necessitated in any way shape or form.


correct.

Amperage;161839 wrote:
Fate can be accomplished through free will or through determinism or by any other means under the sun.


Again, what is fatalism and how is it different than determinism as a philosophical thesis? Tell me, please. I'm waiting....

Amperage;161839 wrote:
Next, Do you think if Q will happen necessarily that negates the fact that I can freely choose Q? I would say no, it does not.


Yes it does! If P is physically necessary, then it is physically impossible to do ~P. This logically follows! And you just defined free will as the ability to do things free of necessity. So you are contradicting yourself.

Amperage;161839 wrote:
Determinism, to me, means 1 of two things......a determinist who is an incompatabilist would say that everything that happens, does so due to physical necessity.


Then if everyone does things with physical necessity, it is physically impossible not do those things. This logically follows.

Amperage;161839 wrote:
A Determinist who is a compatiblist would say almost everything that happens does so due to physical necessity. The main exception being human unforced choices.


Compatibilists are soft-determinists. Maintaining free will, they deny every physical event is physically necessary. But they accept that every cause is causally sufficient for its effect. Causal sufficiency is not the same as causal necesssity.

There is much more going on here than you know about, or are willing to recognize. Philosophers are not as dense as you take them to be. I can tell that you never even bothered reading the SEP article on Compatibilism/Incompatibilism because your understanding of these topics is very rudimentary. Please read it, othewise I will just ignore you until you're on the same page with these distinctions.

Compatibilism (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
Arguments for Incompatibilism (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
Causal Determinism (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
Fatalism (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)

---------- Post added 05-08-2010 at 03:27 PM ----------

Amperage;161841 wrote:
I'm not trying to be. That is precisely what the principle of bivalence says.


the POB doesn't "say" this. Future tense propositions would merely be an instance of it.

Amperage;161841 wrote:
I don't know what the POV is but the Principle of Bivalence states that ALL propositions contain a value of either true or false but not both and not neither and the value cannot change. The POB is kind of an extension of the Law of Non-contradiction and Excluded Middle. The thing is, that the POB says ALL which means even future tense propositions. So, the proposition, Amperage will be president in the year 2024, is either true right now or false right now, but not neither, not undecided, and not both. And it's value cannot change....if it's true it will remain true now and forever; if it's false it will remain false now and forever.

So maybe you can explain what the POV is or you can use what I just wrote and answer your own question.


That was a typo. You know exactly what I meant. So I will ask again:

So does the POB say or not say that the future tense propositions have a truth value? If it does, then you are contradicting the POB. If the POB does not say this, then you are saying something false about the POB.

Amperage;161841 wrote:
you have been arguing by simply using the definition. I am asking why if the future is set that necessarily negates free will.


That's what "necessary" means! If I necessarily do P, then it is impossible to do ~P. This can be physical, metaphysical, or logical necessity. It doesn't matter. If something is necessary, then it is false that it could have been otherwise.

Amperage;161841 wrote:
Even if the future is set that does not negate the fact that I will have freely chosen everything I am fated to.


Ignoring the word "fate," I agree. But if free will is the ability to do otherwise, and if it is physically necessary that you do P, then it logically follows that doing ~P is physically impossible--or is necessarily false. So free will is physically impossible. What do you not understand?
 
Amperage
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 03:42 pm
@Extrain,
I had a much better response to all these questions but the post got lost....darn interwebs...oh well.
Extrain;161842 wrote:
You still didn't answer my question. What are those differences? Can you specify what they are? So far, you are just making an arbitrary distinctions without telling anyone why you've made that distinction. I have a distinction, you don't.
Fatalism says everything is unfolding according a plan. That the future is set. That everything is unfolding exactly as it always would.

Determinism, to me, means 1 of two things......a determinist who is an incompatabilist would say that everything that happens, does so due to physical necessity.

A Determinist who is a compatiblist would say almost everything that happens does so due to physical necessity. The main exception being human unforced choices.



Extrain;161842 wrote:
No one thinks this.
Well then no one must think fatalism and free will are at odds.



Extrain;161842 wrote:
What is Hard determinism, and how is it different than Soft determinism?
A Hard determinism would say that everything that happens, does so due to physical necessity.

A soft determinist would say almost everything that happens does so due to physical necessity. The main exception being human unforced choices.



Extrain;161842 wrote:
correct.




Extrain;161842 wrote:
Again, what is fatalism and how is it different than determinism as a philosophical thesis? Tell me, please. I'm waiting....
Fatalism is the theory that things are unfolding exactly as they always would. And that that God knows the future.

Determinism is either all things or almost all things happen by physical necessity.

Determinism could be true and fatalism not if we are on the leading edge of time and there was no future to be known.

But if we are not on the leading edge of time then all that would mean is that things are unfolding as they always would. This does not negate free will nor does it negate determinism

The ONLY way God could know the future is if things are happening exactly as they ALWAYS would.



Extrain;161842 wrote:
Yes it does! If P is physically necessary, then it is physically impossible to do ~P. This logically follows! And you just defined free will as the ability to do things free of necessity. So you are contradicting yourself.
So if something is physically necessary this negates that I can freely choose it? That is ridiculous. It is physically necessary that I drink water to live and I can still freely choose to drink water.



Extrain;161842 wrote:
Then if everyone does things with physical necessity, it is physically impossible not do those things. This logically follows.
this is exactly what a hard determinist would say



Extrain;161842 wrote:
Compatibilists are soft-determinists. Maintaining free will, they deny every physical event is physically necessary. But they accept that every cause is causally sufficient for its effect. Causal sufficiency is not the same as causal necesssity.

There is much more going on here than you know about, or are willing to recognize. Philosophers are not as dense as you take them to be. I can tell that you never even bothered reading the SEP article on Compatibilism/Incompatibilism because your understanding of these topics is very rudimentary. Please read it, othewise I will just ignore you until you're on the same page with these distinctions.

Compatibilism (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
Arguments for Incompatibilism (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
Causal Determinism (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
Fatalism (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
Didn't I say exactly that?????

Well you may as well put me on ignore then.

I'll read the pages but I'm not going to be on the same page with their distinctions because I don't agree with all of them. And I have yet to see anything compelling enough to make me change my mind....not that it can't happen but as of yet. I have not seen a convincing argument.



---------- Post added 05-08-2010 at 03:27 PM ----------



Extrain;161842 wrote:
the POB doesn't "say" this. This is entailed by it.
lol OK.



Extrain;161842 wrote:
That was a typo. You know exactly what I meant. So I will ask again:

So does the POB say or not say that the future tense propositions have a truth value? If it does, then you are contradicting the POB. If the POB does not say this, then you are saying something false about the POB.
No, I didn't know exactly what you meant. That's why I responded like I did. the POB says that future tense propositions DO have a truth value and nowhere have I contradicted this.

Extrain;161842 wrote:
That's what "necessary" means! If I necessarily do P, then it is impossible to do ~P. This can be physical, metaphysical, or logical necessity. It doesn't matter. If something is necessary, then it is false that it could have been otherwise.
It's also false that I can't freely choose P.....who cares what could have been otherwise I choose to do P. Are you denying that P can both be physically necessary and yet I freely choose it?

Extrain;161842 wrote:
If free will is the ability to do otherwise, and if it is necessary that you do P, then it logically follows that doing ~P is impossible--or is necessarily false. What do you not understand?
Mostly, I may never freely choose to do ~P so who cares?
 
Extrain
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 04:39 pm
@Amperage,
Amperage;161849 wrote:
Fatalism says everything is unfolding according a plan. That the future is set. That everything is unfolding exactly as it always would.


Yes, and with necessity. But who cares anymore.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
Determinism, to me, means 1 of two things......a determinist who is an incompatabilist would say that everything that happens, does so due to physical necessity.


No, they don't. Hard determinists say that because every event is caused, and human decisions are events, then human decisions are caused. Therefore, I don't freely decide anything because antecedent past conditions determine how I act now. The past decides what decisions I will make in the future, I don't decide my decisions because then there would be infinite regress of decisions upon more decisions and no act ever gets performed. This is precisely their argument against Libertarians who think human decisions are completely random (or at least they have a problem explaining what appears to be total randomness in decision making power).

Amperage;161849 wrote:
A Determinist who is a compatiblist would say almost everything that happens does so due to physical necessity. The main exception being human unforced choices.


No. This is Incompatibilist Libertarianism, not Soft-Determinsim. Libertarians deny causal closure of physical in order to make room for uncaused human decisions. So they deny determinism is true across the board for all human decisions, such that, some events, human decisions, are uncaused.

Soft determinists, on the other hand, accept causal closure of the physical since all human decisions are caused by antecedent past conditions (like Hard determinists do), but they deny those causes of my decisions are sufficient for the resulting decision, even though those antecedent causes are necessary for my decision. Therefore, past antecedenct conditions are not sufficient for any action I will perform since I am also partial cause of my action. So my decision, in conjunction with past causes, are jointly sufficient, thus entailing, the future effect.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
Well then no one must think fatalism and free will are at odds.


I do. But my definition of fatalism is not YOURS. Get a grip.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
A Hard determinism would say that everything that happens, does so due to physical necessity.


Not exactly. That is more appropriate to fatalism. Though Soft and Hard determinists interpret the following differently, Hard Determinism ACTUALLY AND EXPLICITLY says,

the facts of the past, in conjunction with the laws of nature, entail every truth about the future.

So, given the actual past, and holding fixed the laws of nature, only one future is possible at any moment in time. Notice that an implication of determinism as it applies to a person's conduct is that, if determinism is true, there are (causal) conditions for that person's actions located in the remote past, prior to her birth, that are sufficient for each of her actions.

Do you see anything about "physical necessity"? NO!

Soft determinists, on the other hand, will deny this latter part. They will say that no past cause is sufficient for my future decisions, only necessary for my future decisions. And by no means does any past cause "necessitate" my future decisions.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
Fatalism is the theory that things are unfolding exactly as they always would. And that that God knows the future.


If God's knowledge is infallible, that would be the outcome, wouldn't it...

Amperage;161849 wrote:
Determinism is either all things or almost all things happen by physical necessity.


No. It is the thesis that everything has a cause, and that intial conditions along with the laws of nature entail every future fact.
P-->Q
Q-->R
R-->S

Therefore, P-->S
P
Therefore, S.

Q.E.D.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
So if something is physically necessary this negates that I can freely choose it? That is ridiculous. It is physically necessary that I drink water to live and I can still freely choose to drink water.


Lol. I will prove otherwise logically. If you disagree, then I need a counterargument to the following telling me which premise is false and why you think so.

(1) I have free will to do P if and only if I can do ~P.
(2) If I can do ~P, then ~P is possible to do.
(3) If I necessarily do P, then it is not possible to do not P.
(4) I necessarily do P.
(5) Therefore, it is not possible to do ~P
(6) Therefore, I can't do ~P.
(7) Therefore, I am not free to do P.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
this is exactly what a hard determinist would say


People like Hobbes was a self-declared determinist who said this, but he was confused, and so is every other self-proclaimed determinist who says this.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
Didn't I say exactly that?????


No, you said Soft Determnisists (Compatibilists) think "almost everything happens according to physical necessity." Though this falls out of their position, that's not why they are soft determinists. This is why Libertarians are Libertarians, and libertarians think some events don't have causes, namely, human decisions.

Soft determinists are compatibilists because they still think every event has a cause, but no cause determines its effect with necessity--since that is fatalism-- So they still maintain causes only determine their effects with sufficiency. And human decisions are partly necessary and together with the laws of nature are jointly sufficient for future effects.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
I'll read the pages but I'll won't be on the same page with their distinctions because I don't agree with all of them.


You lack any good reason not to.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
No, I didn't know exactly what you meant. That's why I responded like I did. the POB says that future tense propositions DO have a truth value.


And this is what you deny, then? I don't even know what your position is.

Amperage;161849 wrote:
It's also false that I can't freely choose P.....who cares what could have been otherwise I choose to do P.


If you can't do otherwise, then you are not free, since there exists only one possible course for you to choose. So it is not a choice at all. If necessarily P, then necessarily ~P. Logically, this follows. If you can't do ~P, then you are not free to do P. Free will is defined by what someone could have done given present conditions, not by what someone does given present conditions--a machine does that--it just does P, because "can P" implies "does P" if all events are necessary. Do you think we are machines? LOL!

Amperage;161849 wrote:
Are you denying that a P can both by physically necessary and freely chosen>


Absolutely, because if your actions are physically necessitated, then you could not have done otherwise. That's what necessity is.
And it is a logical contradiction to suppose otherwise. You yourself defined free will as the ability to do P or ~P. So are you now retracting your statement?

Amperage;161849 wrote:
Mostly, I may never freely choose to do ~P so who cares?


But you said someone is free to do P if he could have done otherwise. Are you denying this?
 
Amperage
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 05:23 pm
@Extrain,
Extrain;161864 wrote:
Yes, and with necessity. But who cares anymore.
why must it say with necessity? OK let us suppose the future is set such that it is your fate that Q. Does that statement in and of itself exclude your ability to freely choose Q?

Extrain;161864 wrote:
No, they don't. Hard determinists say that because every event is caused, and human decisions are events, then human decisions are caused. Therefore, I don't freely decide anything because antecedent past conditions determine how I act now. The past decides what decisions I will make in the future, I don't decide my decisions because then there would be infinite regress of decisions upon more decisions and no act ever gets performed. This is precisely their argument against Libertarians who think human decisions are completely random (or at least they have a problem explaining what appears to be total randomness in decision making power).
hard determinist think that if we had all the inital conditions and we knew the state of the world at a given time, that a future event could be predicted, do they not?
The reason the think this is possible is because there is no possible way that the causal chain can change. There is no such thing as true randomness nor free will correct? Does it not then follow that given the laws of nature that all events thereafter follow necessarily?



Extrain;161864 wrote:
No. This is Incompatibilist Libertarianism, not Soft-Determinsim. Libertarians deny causal closure of physical in order to make room for uncaused human decisions. So they deny determinism is true, such that, some events, human decisions, are uncaused.

Soft determinists, on the other hand, accept causal closure of the physical since all human decisions are caused by antecedent past conditions (like Hard determinists do), but they deny those causes of my decisions are sufficient for the resulting decision, even though those antecedent causes are necessary for my decision. Therefore, past antecedenct conditions are not sufficient for any action I will perform since I am also partial cause of my action. So my decision, in conjunction with past causes, are jointly sufficient, thus entailing, the future effect.
soft determinists do not believe that human actions are the result of physical necessity....yes or no?



Extrain;161864 wrote:
I do. But my definition of fatalism is not YOURS. Get a grip.
Well then why would you say that no one thinks that If you are fated to do Q this does not negate the fact you may WANT to do Q? Or in other words, you said no one thinks that being fated to do Q means you can't freely choose to do Q.....If that is the case, and I agree, then fatalism and free will are NOT incompatible




Extrain;161864 wrote:
Not exactly. That is more appropriate to fatalism. Hard determinism ACTUALLY AND EXPLICITLY says,

the facts of the past, in conjunction with the laws of nature, entail every truth about the future.

So, given the actual past, and holding fixed the laws of nature, only one future is possible at any moment in time. Notice that an implication of determinism as it applies to a person's conduct is that, if determinism is true, there are (causal) conditions for that person's actions located in the remote past, prior to her birth, that are sufficient for each of her actions.
Yes, but can you once try and and figure out what that IMPLIES? To me, that implies that given the laws of nature and initial conditions, everything thereafter happens by physical necessity. Do you not agree?



Extrain;161864 wrote:
If God's knowledge is infallible, that would be the outcome, wouldn't it...
yes. And God knowing the future does not negate free will as God's knowing doesn't cause anything. Just as the future being set doesn't cause the future. You freely choose what you do, it just so happens you would always choose exactly as you do.

Extrain;161864 wrote:
Lol. I will prove otherwise logically. If you disagree, then I need a counterargument to the following telling me which premise is false and why you think so.

(1) I have free will to do P if and only if I can do ~P.
(2) If I can do ~P, then ~P is possible to do.
(3) If I necessarily do P, then it is not possible to do not P.
(4) I necessarily do P.
(5) Therefore, it is not possible to do ~P
(6) Therefore, I can't do ~P.
(7) Therefore, I am not free to do P.
I disagree with (1). Why? Because I may NEVER want to do ~P so what does it matter if I can or cannot do it?

Let us assume that upon death every person is given the choice between Heaven or Hell but not one person ever throughout history chooses Hell. Would it matter if you could actually choose Hell or not? No, because you freely chose Heaven.



Extrain;161864 wrote:
People like Hobbes was a self-declared determinist who said this, but he was confused, and so is every other self-proclaimed determinist who says this.
LOL. Now this is funny coming from you



Extrain;161864 wrote:
No, you said Soft Determnisists (Compatibilists) think "almost everything happens according to physical necessity." Though this falls out of their position, that's not why they are soft determinists. This is why Libertarians are Libertarians, and libertarians think some events don't have causes, namely, human decisions.

Soft determinists are compatibilists because they still think every event has a cause, but no cause determines its effect with necessity--since that is fatalism-- So they still maintain causes only determine their effects with sufficiency. And human decisions are partly necessary and together with the laws of nature are jointly sufficient for future effects.
your quote: "Soft determinists are compatibilists becasue they still think ever event has a cause, but no cause determines its effect with necessity" my quote: "almost everything happens due to physical necessity"
wow. Is that not exactly what I said?



Extrain;161864 wrote:
You lack any good reason not to.
sure I do. I've been arguing my reason for page upon page now, you've simply rejected it because it doesn't agree with SEP.



Extrain;161864 wrote:
And this is what you deny, then? I don't even know what your position is.
deny what? I'm showing you why the POB implies a set future but not a negation of free will.....in other words my exact definition for fate.

Extrain;161864 wrote:
If you can't do otherwise, then you are not free, since there exists only one possible course for you to choose. So it is not a choice at all. If necessarily P, then necessarily ~P. Logically, this follows. If you can't do ~P, then you are not free to do P. Free will is defined by what someone could have done given present conditions, not by what someone does given present conditions--a machine does that--it just does P, because "can P" implies "does P" if all events are necessary. Do you think we are machines? LOL!
If you found out you were on the truman show would this negate your free will in some way? Since you were a slave of sorts?



Extrain;161864 wrote:
Absolutely, because if your actions are physically necessitated, then you could not have done otherwise. That's what necessity is.
And it is a logical contradiction to suppose otherwise. You yourself defined free will as the ability to do P. So are you now retracting your statement?
Free will is the ability to do something of my choosing. This does not mean if I can't do ~P that I'm not still free to do P.


Extrain;161864 wrote:
But you said someone is free to do P if he could have done otherwise. Are you denying this?
where did I say that?

---------- Post added 05-08-2010 at 06:28 PM ----------

think of it this way. If someone said , "pick a hand any hand and I'll give you what's in it", and you pick the left hand and he's got 5 dollars in it and he gives it to you.....right afterward he says, "it's a good thing you picked the left too because I wasn't going to let you pick the right hand..."

Did you or did you not freely choose the left hand? Honest question here.

I think you exhibited your free will and chose the left hand.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 06:01 pm
@Amperage,
I will get to that post in a second. First tell me if you think the POB is false, and whether you think your construal of fatalism is false. I can't tell what position you are advancing at all.

Second, I am confused that on your own construal, you think fatalism is true, and someone can have free will. But you also think that if determinism is true, somone can have free will, too?

What makes something not free? Do mechanical machines have free will too? What the hell do you believe???
 
Amperage
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 06:04 pm
@Extrain,
Extrain;161884 wrote:
I will get to that post in a second. First tell me if you think the POB is false, and whether you think your construal of fatalism is false. I can't tell what position you are advancing at all.

Second, I am confused that on your own construal, you think fatalism is true, and someone can have free will. But you also think that if determinism is true, somone can have free will, too?

What makes something not free? Do mechanical machines have free will too? What the hell do you believe???
If not for my belief in God, I would maintain that the POB does NOT hold for future tense propositions(exactly what Aristotle though btw).

That is the one and only reason that I do agree with the POB.

I still don't know if fatalism is real but, I can at least admit it might be. Not that it matters because I don't know the future. And I am still freely choosing what I choose.

I vehemently believe that free will is real so anything else I think might be true, must be able to be compatible with free will.

I can obviously not know for certain if free will is real, but it doesn't matter because I must(almost as if I'm determined) live my life as if it is.

I am advancing the possibility that free will and fate can be compatible while not claiming to know if either are true, but while strenuously claiming free will is.
 
TuringEquivalent
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 06:10 pm
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;159531 wrote:
Since it is impossible to avoid one's fate, since if one did so, it would not have been his fate, how could fatalism be false-which it clearly is?


To say it is false is to presume it is a factual matter with truth values. I grant this, but i don ` t think there is epistemic justification for it being one way, or the other.
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 06:22 pm
@TuringEquivalent,
TuringEquivalent;161888 wrote:
To say it is false is to presume it is a factual matter with truth values. I grant this, but i don ` t think there is epistemic justification for it being one way, or the other.


Epistemic justification for what? That fatalism is false. Of course the belief that fatalism is false is justified. Unless it was, why would police departments spend money of equipping police with body armour? Fatalism implies that a police officer has no more chance of surviving being shot at when equipped with body armor than he does if he is not wearing body armor. Clearly the police don't believe that since they equip officers with body armor.
 
Amperage
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 06:23 pm
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;161890 wrote:
Epistemic justification for what? That fatalism is false. Of course the belief that fatalism is false is justified. Unless it was, why would police departments spend money of equipping police with body armour? Fatalism implies that a police officer has no more chance of surviving being shot at when equipped with body armor than he does if he is not wearing body armor. Clearly the police don't believe that since they equip officers with body armor.
it was their fate to buy the body armor of course
 
TuringEquivalent
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 06:42 pm
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;161890 wrote:
Epistemic justification for what? That fatalism is false. Of course the belief that fatalism is false is justified. Unless it was, why would police departments spend money of equipping police with body armour? Fatalism implies that a police officer has no more chance of surviving being shot at when equipped with body armor than he does if he is not wearing body armor. Clearly the police don't believe that since they equip officers with body armor.


There are two views in this situation. Suppose we have a god like view of the world, and according to this view, the world could not be different from what it is, and what it will be is completely fixed. In the frog eye view of the police officer, he believe that he does have free will, and that planning, preparation for the future do matter.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 07:13 pm
@Amperage,
Amperage;161873 wrote:
why must it say with necessity? OK let us suppose the future is set such that it is your fate that Q. Does that statement in and of itself exclude your ability to freely choose Q?


If you mean that your fate is "fixed," "sealed," "necessary," "inevitable," "unchangeable"-----yes, you no longer have free will. But just because a future tense proposition is true, does not entail there are no facts of the matter about what you would have done if you had chosen differently. But you seem to think there are no facts about what I would have done, if I had chosen differently. This is false. So even if there are future facts, this does not entail future facts are "fixed" since even if it is true "I will be wear a blue shirt tomorrow" it is also still true that "I could be wearing a green shirt tomorrow." If you accept the truth of the former, but deny the truth of the latter, then you deny free will.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
hard determinist think that if we had all the inital conditions and we knew the state of the world at a given time, that a future event could be predicted, do they not?


Ideally, yes, that is what a Hard Determinist believes.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
The reason the think this is possible is because there is no possible way that the causal chain can change.There is no such thing as true randomness nor free will correct?


Ideally, yes, that is what a Hard Determinist believes.

But this is the mistake that's too often made. The causal chain changes by human beings, not by mechanistic objects governed like billiard balls on a table. We are part of that change, yes, but antecedent causes in the past (though necessary) are not always sufficient to affect a change in my future decisions, wants, and desires. So there is a causal gap between past events and future, decisions, wants and desires. I am not a pin-ball machine.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
Does it not then follow that given the laws of nature that all events thereafter follow necessarily?


No. Why would they? Effects don't always follow their causes with a necessity of 1 anyway. I contend that event Q as stated in natural laws of the form of P-->Q, given initial condition P--follows with only a high degree of probability such as .99999___. (Quantum mechanics may even have something to say about this). But this doesn't entail that causes are no longer sufficient for their effects. If P then Q. But it doesn't follow that necessarily Q. Logical material implication doesn't even imply this. It is one-track minded physicists who have oversimplified the philosophical view of determinism and turned the universe into one mechanical clockwork.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
soft determinists do not believe that human actions are the result of physical necessity....yes or no?


There are variations of Soft Determinists. But I don't know of any soft determinists who do believe this. You seem to think "physical necessity" is still a notion that philosophers buy into. It is typically not. In circles today, physical necessity is a very outdated notion and, quite honestly, I don't know of any who believe it anymore because there is no reason to think any such thing is true. It is not even supported by the metaphysics of causality.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
Well then why would you say that no one thinks that If you are fated to do Q this does not negate the fact you may WANT to do Q? Or in other words, you said no one thinks that being fated to do Q means you can't freely choose to do Q.....If that is the case, and I agree, then fatalism and free will are NOT incompatible


What does "wanting" have to do with anything here? If you are fated to do anything, then you are necessarily determined to do that thing, including "wanting." Your "wanting" doesn't stand outside this "necessary physical order" which you are proposing actually exists.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
Yes, but can you once try and and figure out what that IMPLIES? To me, that implies that given the laws of nature and initial conditions, everything thereafter happens by physical necessity. Do you not agree?


No, I don't agree. "Necessity" is strictly a modal notion, not a causal notion. Nor is necessity a logical entailment notion. You have your "musts" all mixed up.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
I disagree with (1). Why? Because I may NEVER want to do ~P so what does it matter if I can or cannot do it?


But if (1) is false, then it logically follows that can never want to do ~P either. It is not as if your wanting is outside the causal order if you think every event is physically necessary since your wanting is a physical event, too.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
your quote: "Soft determinists are compatibilists becasue they still think ever event has a cause, but no cause determines its effect with necessity" my quote: "almost everything happens due to physical necessity"wow. Is that not exactly what I said?


No. Does it look like we wrote the same thing?
Soft determinists believe NO physical event happens with necessity. The only truths which are necessary are a priori logical truths and mathematical truths. Stop making me say things YOU are saying.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
sure I do. I've been arguing my reason for page upon page now, you've simply rejected it because it doesn't agree with SEP.


Unfortunately, I don't see any good arguments at all. Only stipulations. That's exactly why I am so confused as to what you really believe. And I object to your views because they are either inconsistent, confusing, unargued for, or just plain stipulated without reason.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
If you found out you were on the truman show would this negate your free will in some way? Since you were a slave of sorts?


Huh? Of course not. The Truman Show doesn't even have anything to do with the physical necessity we are talking about. We are talking about physically necessary truths vs. physically contingent truths with respect to voluntary actions alone, not voluntary vs. involuntary actions or states of affairs we have no control over as they stand.

Amperage;161873 wrote:
Free will is the ability to do something of my choosing. This does not mean if I can't do ~P that I'm not still free to do P.


But the alleged choice is empty if you can only do P. "Can" implies "does" if you are fated to do only P. Therefore, there is no "can do P or can do ~P"

Amperage;161873 wrote:
think of it this way. If someone said , "pick a hand any hand and I'll give you what's in it", and you pick the left hand and he's got 5 dollars in it and he gives it to you.....right afterward he says, "it's a good thing you picked the left too because I wasn't going to let you pick the right hand..."Did you or did you not freely choose the left hand? Honest question here.I think you exhibited your free will and chose the left hand.


I agree, free...But I have a reason which you don't. Here:

The example you gave is called a "Frankfurt style" case in philosophy that is allegedly supposed to tug our intuitions that John was still morally culpable for shooting Jim when he chose to shoot Jim, even if a third party Bob was going to send a shock to John's brain causing him to shoot Jim anyway if John so happened to "choose" not to shoot Jim. My reply?

John was still free to shoot Jim even if he would not have not shot Jim, simply because John could have not wanted to originally shoot Jim from the start, and thus still free and morally culpable for his action.

Your view, on the other hand, still maintains that wanting is physically necessary. Therefore, it is impossible to want to do differently. I can acccount for freedom. Your view remains unanswerable to the question of what freedom of will really is. I can't even make sense of what it means to say "free actions are still free even if they are physically necessary."
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 07:17 pm
@Amperage,
Amperage;161891 wrote:
it was their fate to buy the body armor of course


You are joking. But even if you are, that isn't the point. The issue is whether their purchase of it is justified. And, of course, it is. Since there is excellent reason to think that police with body armor will be safe than without it. Otherwise their purchase of it was unjustified (fated or not).

---------- Post added 05-08-2010 at 09:24 PM ----------

TuringEquivalent;161894 wrote:
There are two views in this situation. Suppose we have a god like view of the world, and according to this view, the world could not be what it is, and what it will be is completely fixed. In the frog eye view of the police officer, he believe that he does have free will, and that planning, preparation for the future do matter.


There may be two views, but only one of them is justified. Are you under the impression that we do not have excellent reason to think that wearing body armor is justified? Why do they spend money to purchase it then?
 
TuringEquivalent
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 07:35 pm
@kennethamy,
Quote:
There may be two views, but only one of them is justified. Are you under the impression that we do not have excellent reason to think that wearing body armor is justified? Why do they spend money to purchase it then?


The two views i mention is consistent with one another. The god ` s eye view is true, and the police officer `s view is false. I think the officer is obvious making a good choice when he wears the armor.
 
Extrain
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 07:36 pm
@Amperage,
Amperage;161885 wrote:
If not for my belief in God, I would maintain that the POB does NOT hold for future tense propositions(exactly what Aristotle though btw). That is the one and only reason that I do agree with the POB.


But you said it DID hold for future tense propositions. Are you recanting what you clearly said earlier?

Amperage;161885 wrote:
I still don't know if fatalism is real but, I can at least admit it might be. Not that it matters because I don't know the future. And I am still freely choosing what I choose.


...which is a very good reason to think fatalism is false, btw. I don't know why you are defending it so vehemently.

Amperage;161885 wrote:
I vehemently believe that free will is real so anything else I think might be true, must be able to be compatible with free will.


That's how I see the landscape. I could very well change my mind about future tense propositions because it is bothersome. In order to do that, however, we have to deny the future exists. This is called the "Growing Block Theory of Time and Causation." As time passes, ""future"" events get added on to past and present ones, created a kind of block of true propositions and facts. So only the past and present exist. But I am not sure I am comfortable with that at all.

Amperage;161885 wrote:
I am advancing the possibility that free will and fate can be compatible while not claiming to know if either are true, but while strenuously claiming free will is.


That's strange because you are defending physical necessity while flouting physical acuality of future tense propositions. That strategy just seems to get you into a world of trouble. I don't think there is any such thing as physical necessity at all. It's an absurd notion, and we need to abandon it.
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 08:03 pm
@TuringEquivalent,
TuringEquivalent;161908 wrote:
The two views i mention is consistent with one another. The god ` s eye view is true, and the police officer `s view is false. I think the officer is obvious making a good choice when he wears the armor.


The police officer's view that body armor is protective is false. And so, his choice to wear it is a good choice? Are you all right?
 
Extrain
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 08:33 pm
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;161921 wrote:
The police officer's view that body armor is protective is false. And so, his choice to wear it is a good choice? Are you all right?


But Ken, isn't this the fallacy of the "lazy argument"? The conclusion that "we ought not to do anything because it makes no difference" is fallacious. Fatalists don't have to draw this conclusion. Non-fatalists can draw it too. So it is still nevertheless a fallacy and doesn't succeed in undermining fatalism one bit. Even if someone believes fatalism is true, it is absurd to suppose he is thereby unjustified for thinking adorning body armour is a good idea.

Supposing it is true officer A won't die because he wears body armour. Supposing it is true officer B will die even if he wears body armour. And supposing it is true officer C will die because he chooses not to wear body armour. It is still wise to wear body armour in all three case because wearing body armour is one of those things that is known to decrease your chances of dying when you are shot at. We know this from past cases. It matters not whether one knows the truth of the matter about the future.

Besides, if it is true someone lives in the future precisely because he wears body armour, it is because wearing body armour is one of those necessary steps which determines his fate that he won't die. So in all three cases, it is still a good decision to wear body armour whether the officer will die or not, simply because he has no determinate knowledge about the future. There is no good reason for anyone to take the gamble and not wear body armour.
 
TuringEquivalent
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 08:47 pm
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;161921 wrote:
The police officer's view that body armor is protective is false. And so, his choice to wear it is a good choice? Are you all right?



Yes, i am very healthy, ken. The police officer is making a good choice given "all he knows". He obvious does not know that the world he live in a deterministic one, and that fatalism is true. This is beyond his epistemic limit, but his choice of wearing the armor is obvious good given "all he knows".
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 08:58 pm
@Extrain,
Extrain;161932 wrote:
But Ken, isn't this the fallacy of the "lazy argument"? The conclusion that "we ought not to do anything because it makes no difference" is fallacious. Fatalists don't have to draw this conclusion. Non-fatalists can draw it too. So it is still nevertheless a fallacy and doesn't succeed in undermining fatalism one bit. Even if someone believes fatalism is true, it is absurd to suppose he is thereby unjustified for thinking adorning body armour is a good idea.

Supposing it is true officer A won't die because he wears body armour. Supposing it is true officer B will die even if he wears body armour. And supposing it is true officer C will die because he chooses not to wear body armour. It is still wise to wear body armour in all three case because wearing body armour is one of those things that is known to decrease your chances of dying when you are shot at. We know this from past cases. It matters not whether one knows the truth of the matter about the future.

Besides, if it is true someone lives in the future precisely because he wears body armour, it is because wearing body armour is one of those necessary steps which determines his fate that he won't die. So in all three cases, it is still a good decision to wear body armour whether the officer will die or not, simply because he has no determinate knowledge about the future. There is no good reason for anyone to take the gamble and not wear body armour.


Besides, if it is true someone lives in the future precisely because he wears body armour, it is because wearing body armour is one of those necessary steps which determines his fate that he won't die

That argument simply trivializes fatalism. I already pointed out that in one sense of "fate" fatalism is tautologically trivial: namely, what will happen will happen. If that is fatalism, then everyone is a fatalist. It also equates fatalism with determinism, and what is the point of doing that? We are not discussing whether determinism is true. We are discussing whether fatalism is true. And that supposes that fatalism and determinism are not the same theories. And, indeed, as I have just argued, fatalism and determinism are incompatible.

That it would be a gamble, as you say, not to wear body armor, shows that fatalism is false. For how would it be a gamble not to wear body armor if fatalism were true?
 
Extrain
 
Reply Sat 8 May, 2010 09:02 pm
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;161941 wrote:
That argument simply trivializes fatalism. I already pointed out that in one sense of "fate" fatalism is tautologically trivial: namely, what will happen will happen. If that is fatalism, then everyone is a fatalist. It also equates fatalism with determinism, and what is the point of doing that? We are not discussing whether determinism is true. We are discussing whether fatalism is true. And that supposes that fatalism and determinism are not the same theories. And, indeed, as I have just argued, fatalism and determinism are incompatible.


I know you know I agree with you. Nevertheless, I am not talking about that.

kennethamy;161941 wrote:
That it would be a gamble, as you say, not to wear body armor shows that fatalism is false. For how would it be a gamble not to wear body armor if fatalism were true?

Yes, if fatalism were true--real gambles are not gambles since the future is "fixed." But that's not the point. The point is that one is still justified in believing that it is good thing to wear armour irrespective of whether fatalism is true or not.

The decision to adorn armour is an epistemic gamble given our lack of knowledge about the future, just like all gambles whether the future is fated or not. It is not an epistemic gamble given what we know about past cases of people walking into gun fire without protective armour.

Even if fatalism is true, it is still wise to wear protective armour. And the decision is justified given what we know about the past.
 
 

 
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