Defense of Freewill Against Determinism

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ughaibu
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 09:53 pm
@Amperage,
Amperage;147382 wrote:
Natural phenomena can be explained and predicted using this information.
Solomonoff has proved that all ideal predictions are uncomputable, even in principle and regardless of whether the model is deterministic or probabilistic. That is to say, the smallest change in the simplest system is irretrievably unpredictable. If you think that predictability is some kind of support for determinism, what do you think predictive impossibility suggests?
 
Amperage
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 09:55 pm
@ughaibu,
ughaibu;147387 wrote:
If you think that predictability is some kind of support for determinism, what do you think predictive impossibility suggests?
I would ask you to clarify....Do you mean predicting that X is impossible or do you mean X is impossible to predict?
 
north
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 09:57 pm
@ughaibu,
ughaibu;147387 wrote:
Solomonoff has proved that all ideal predictions are uncomputable, even in principle and regardless of whether the model is deterministic or probabilistic. That is to say, the smallest change in the simplest system is irretrievably unpredictable. If you think that predictability is some kind of support for determinism, what do you think predictive impossibility suggests?


and thats the thing , really

not the matter of the complexity of the mathematics , the mathematics gets as complex as fractals , well beyond probability
 
Amperage
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 10:00 pm
@Amperage,
ughaibu;147387 wrote:
If you think that predictability is some kind of support for determinism, what do you think predictive impossibility suggests?


Amperage;147389 wrote:
I would ask you to clarify....Do you mean predicting that X is impossible or do you mean X is impossible to predict?
I think you mean the latter and obviously it is my opinion that science has simply not progressed enough to make the prediction about X......eventually it will predictable as well. Obviously that is an opinion but I base that on the fact that it once seemed impossible to predict this or that as well.
 
ughaibu
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 10:04 pm
@Amperage,
Amperage;147391 wrote:
obviously it is my opinion that science has simply not progressed enough to make the prediction about X......eventually it will predictable as well
It has been proved that such predictions are impossible, even in principle.
 
Amperage
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 10:07 pm
@ughaibu,
ughaibu;147392 wrote:
It has been proved that such predictions are impossible, even in principle.
well I'm sure nothing has ever been disproved before.

How do you suggest they were able to "prove" such a thing?

Even still, human ability to be able to predict something doesn't mean that something is NOT acting by law, cause, and reason

Beyond that I don't know enough about the specifics to answer intelligently. Fil. Albuquerque knows much more about this type of thing than me....perhaps he will interject his opinion on the matter.

I do think Schrodinger's cat analogy points out some of the absurdity about "non predictability"
 
Zetherin
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 10:19 pm
@Night Ripper,
ughaibu wrote:
The universal gravitational constant is a value that can only be established empirically, therefore it is impossible that there could be any reason for that value to be what it is.


Many things can only be established empirically. For instance, that this chair is in my room. Is it impossible that this chair is actually in my room since I can only determine it is in my room empirically?
 
north
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 10:21 pm
@Amperage,
Amperage;147393 wrote:
well I'm sure nothing has ever been disproved before.

How do you suggest they were able to "prove" such a thing?


Quote:
Even still, human ability to be able to predict something doesn't mean that something is NOT acting by law, cause, and reason


sure

Quote:
Beyond that I don't know enough about the specifics to answer intelligently. Fil. Albuquerque knows much more about this type of thing than me....perhaps he will interject his opinion on the matter.


Quote:
I do think Schrodinger's cat analogy points out some of the absurdity about "non predictability"


true

---------- Post added 04-02-2010 at 12:24 AM ----------

what of exceptions though , thinking out of the box though....?

thats where free-will shows up Very Happy
 
Zetherin
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 10:31 pm
@Night Ripper,
ughaibu wrote:
It has been proved that such predictions are impossible, even in principle.


Which predictions do you think are impossible, and what does that mean for a prediction to be impossible? All a prediction is is a forecasting; most people who use the term acknowledge that humans are fallible, and so admit that they are not absolutely certain. But that doesn't mean we can't have good reason to believe something will be true that we predict, or that our predictions are never true - they sometimes are. I predict that tomorrow water will come from my showerhead when I turn my shower on, and I have good reason for believing this.
 
north
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 10:47 pm
@Zetherin,
Quote:
Originally Posted by ughaibu
It has been proved that such predictions are impossible, even in principle.




Zetherin;147400 wrote:
Which predictions do you think are impossible, and what does that mean for a prediction to be impossible? All a prediction is is a forecasting; most people who use the term acknowledge that humans are fallible, and so admit that they are not absolutely certain. But that doesn't mean we can't have good reason to believe something will be true that we predict, or that our predictions are never true - they sometimes are. I predict that tomorrow water will come from my showerhead when I turn my shower on, and I have good reason for believing this.


so what has this got to with the thread ?
 
Zetherin
 
Reply Thu 1 Apr, 2010 10:49 pm
@north,
north;147405 wrote:
Quote:
Originally Posted by ughaibu
It has been proved that such predictions are impossible, even in principle.






so what has this got to with the thread ?


Which predictions does he (or you) think are impossible, and what does that mean for a prediction to be impossible? It seems as though this may be of some importance to the thread, but if you disagree, don't feel compelled to respond.
 
north
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 12:11 am
@north,
Quote:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zetherin http://www.philosophyforum.com/images/PHBlue/buttons/viewpost.gif
Which predictions do you think are impossible, and what does that mean for a prediction to be impossible? All a prediction is is a forecasting; most people who use the term acknowledge that humans are fallible, and so admit that they are not absolutely certain. But that doesn't mean we can't have good reason to believe something will be true that we predict, or that our predictions are never true - they sometimes are. I predict that tomorrow water will come from my showerhead when I turn my shower on, and I have good reason for believing this.



Quote:
so what has this got to with the thread ?


Quote:

well what has this got to with this thread ?


free-will is entirely different from a shower head
 
Fil Albuquerque
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 12:30 am
@Zetherin,


---------- Post added 04-02-2010 at 01:48 AM ----------

In another explanation Scenario, namely a free one, Being would be indefinitely growing towards nothingness in both directions...
...not just an infinite regress, but an infinite progression...
...a pure nonsense, as nothingness by its own definition, not is...
(...not even empty Space, as Space has the property of allowing stuff to move around...)
...Imagine a magic growing, in which the next moment ads more to what is, coming randomly from nothingness in a perfect correlation with previous moments...

Give me a brake !!!
 
ughaibu
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 02:47 am
@Amperage,
Amperage;147393 wrote:
How do you suggest they were able to "prove" such a thing?
Here is Solomonoff's autobiography: http://world.std.com/~rjs/barc97.pdf and his full publications page: Publications of Ray Solomonoff
Amperage;147393 wrote:
Even still, human ability to be able to predict something doesn't mean that something is NOT acting by law, cause, and reason
If one holds a belief, and that belief depends on a claim which one finds out has been proven false, then one has a choice:
1) adjust one's beliefs to accommodate this proof
2) continue believing regardless.
Adopting the second option puts a person outside the community of rational discussion. It's up to you.

If you are abandoning your claim from prediction, what reason can you offer to suggest realism about determinism?

---------- Post added 04-02-2010 at 05:50 PM ----------

Zetherin;147395 wrote:
Many things can only be established empirically. For instance, that this chair is in my room. Is it impossible that this chair is actually in my room since I can only determine it is in my room empirically?
If this analogy is supposed to suggest that there is a reason for the universal gravitational constant having the value that it has, you'll need to spell it out, because I cant see any relevance, at all, to your analogy.

---------- Post added 04-02-2010 at 05:53 PM ----------

Zetherin;147400 wrote:
Which predictions do you think are impossible, and what does that mean for a prediction to be impossible?
The claim is that the ability to predict suggests the reality of determinism, as exact predictions are impossible, there is no such support from the predictability of this world.
 
Night Ripper
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 04:01 am
@Amperage,
kennethamy;147329 wrote:
Now that is exactly what scientists say, except that they use the term "cause" rather than "regularity". Apparently, you are now offering a new notation.'Whenever scientists use the term, "cause" use the term, "regularity"'. What a let down!


Why is that a let down? I don't mean to argue that there is no difference. I mean to argue that scientists are wrong when they claim that causes exist in addition to regularities. Of course, seeing as scientists aren't usually experts in philosophy, it's easy to forgive them for making this philosophical mistake.

Amperage;147331 wrote:
"now watch as I chop this mans head off and prove how regularly he tends to die, except, of course, on those rarest of rare occasions, when he does not."


The fact something is a regularity doesn't mean there has to be an occasion where that regularity fails. In fact, there can be perfect regularities such that whenever you chop a man's head off, he dies, without exception.

Exceptionless regularities are still regularities. If you were as good at making arguments as you were at making light of them, you'd be very persuasive.
 
Night Ripper
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 06:13 am
@ughaibu,
ughaibu;147453 wrote:
The claim is that the ability to predict suggests the reality of determinism, as exact predictions are impossible, there is no such support from the predictability of this world.


Since predictability isn't evidence of necessity it wouldn't really matter anyways.
 
kennethamy
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 07:10 am
@Night Ripper,
Night Ripper;147477 wrote:
Why is that a let down? I don't mean to argue that there is no difference. I mean to argue that scientists are wrong when they claim that causes exist in addition to regularities..


Could you say, again, how you distinguish between accidental regularities and non-accidental regularities?
 
Fil Albuquerque
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 07:42 am
@Night Ripper,
Quote:
In the 1968 report he shows that Algorithmic Probability is complete; that is, if there is any describable regularity in a body of data, Algorithmic Probability will eventually discover that regularity, requiring a relatively small sample of that data. Algorithmic Probability is the only probability system know to be complete in this way. As a necessary consequence of its completeness it is incomputable. The incomputability is because some algorithms - a subset of those that are partially recursive - can never be evaluated fully because it would take too long. But these programs will at least be recognized as possible solutions. On the other hand, any computable system is incomplete. There will always be descriptions outside that system's search space which will never be acknowledged or considered, even in an infinite amount of time. Computable prediction models hide this fact by ignoring such algorithms.
Ray Solomonoff - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Being against non-Being must, by definition, not be incomplete !!!

Consequences:

Zero is a function, not a set...
 
Night Ripper
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 08:11 am
@kennethamy,
kennethamy;147498 wrote:
Could you say, again, how you distinguish between accidental regularities and non-accidental regularities?


I don't make such a distinction because I don't believe there are any non-accidental regularities. If you make such a distinction then it can't be based on evidence since there is no possible evidence that can support that a regularity is accidental or non-accidental.

Of course, sometimes there are things we think are strong regularities but aren't really, such as the regularity between my heartbeat and the sunrise. That is what controlled experiments are actually for, they show how strong regularities really are, in this case, rather weak since the sun rose and continues to rise regardless of my heartbeat.

However, there are only the differences between strong, robust regularities and weaker ones. There is no experiment that can ever provide evidence that a regularity is non-accidental.
 
Arjuna
 
Reply Fri 2 Apr, 2010 08:19 am
@Fil Albuquerque,
Fil. Albuquerque;147428 wrote:

...of course a smaller program cannot compute Being...
...Being is only computable by itself...
...meaning describable by itself...(becoming is precisely that)

Phenomena as the optimal description of Being, the Noumena, are necessary proof of Determinism...
...how else would the wave function collapse to 1 ?
...if such was not the case, becoming would not become...
The function collapsing to 1 is from the viewpoint of the smaller program. Follow the logic of the function collapsing into several distinct universes. You can say the other universes don't exist, but you understand yourself relative to them. The other yous are your cousins, so to speak. One has become several. Each sees the inevitability of the way events unfolded. There's something hidden, though. None of them are purely inevitable.

Fil. Albuquerque;147504 wrote:
Ray Solomonoff - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Being against non-Being must, by definition, not be incomplete !!!

Consequences:

Zero is a function, not a set...
Surprise and humor are intuitions of a kind of incompleteness.

Is that incompleteness the same as mystery? That to be separate means that something is hidden. The discovery of the hidden is revelation.

The truth is found in revelation.

Is there any state of consciousness in which all truths have been revealed? In which nothing is hidden? There is no one to experience that state. Experience requires two. Incompleteness is inherent in experience. We don't know how there comes to be two. This mytery is the magic of incompleteness.

What does it mean to posit the truth from the view of the one, when it has no view? And yet we have spoken of this view. And I just posited a vantage point on that... and I did it again. And if I lived forever, it would seem that this would continue forever. This is the infinity inherent in consciousness. We want to pull away and stand back from it... to see it. It has us, though. The eye can never see itself. There's always something hidden.
 
 

 
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