@Night Ripper,
Night Ripper;146925 wrote:If the random world we are in is one in which the regularity will continue then examining the past regularity and projecting it forward in time will work. If the random world we are in is one in which the regularity will not continue then examining the past regularity and projecting it forward is no better and no worse than random guessing.
OK let me attempt to make an appeal to your statistical side. . . . .let's say I have a program that's only job is to print the number 5 over and over again once per second for an entire day.
according to Google there are 86,400 seconds in a day...
now let us also assume that the only things that exist are the number 5 and the number 4 such that those are the only possible outputs of our program
upon running the program sure enough I get 86,400 straight 5's
in a world governed by laws of nature and causality the odds of this occurring are 1 in 1 or 100%. There's no way for it not to happen
now in a world which is random but "acts" regular the odds would be 1 in (2)^86,400 which equates to,
according to my calculator, 1.02*10^-26009%.
we're talking 0.0 followed by another 26,007 more zeros followed by 102%.
now for all practical purposes that is zero. Obviously it's not impossible but it's so overwhelmingly unlikely that it is unreasonable to think it could be random.
Having seen this, imagine applying this to the entire universe of events and variables. The odds cannot even be calculated.
Now, in what way can any reasonable person maintain that our world is random and simply defying impossible odds vs. maintaining a world governed by laws where the odds(of such things like my example) are 1 in 1?
This is why I think the random view is implausible.....not impossible obviously just implausible.....agree?